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North Carolina at SMU: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Jan 3, 2026 2:15 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: SMU by 1, Total Points: 155.5

Matchup Menu: UNC @ SMU

More Games From Jan 3, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
SMU -1.5 Official TR Pick SMU 51% odds to cover
SMU -1.5 Decision Tree SMU 52% odds to cover
North Carolina +1.5 Power Rating Model North Carolina 60% odds to cover
North Carolina +1.5 Similar Games North Carolina 58% odds to cover
North Carolina +1.5 Predictive Ratings North Carolina 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record UNC adv SMU
Season 19-14-0 14-19-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-8-0 8-11-1
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-4-0 4-6-0
Home 12-6-0 7-11-0
Away 7-8-0 7-8-1

North Carolina Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home C Arkansas -31.0 W by 40 +9.0
11/07 Home Kansas -3.0 W by 13 +10.0
11/11 Home Radford -20.0 W by 15 -5.0
11/14 Home NC Central -34.0 W by 44 +10.0
11/18 Home Navy -26.5 W by 12 -14.5
11/25 Neutral St Bonaventure -11.0 W by 15 +4.0
11/27 Neutral Michigan St +1.0 L by 16 -15.0
12/02 Away Kentucky +7.5 W by 3 +10.5
12/07 Home Georgetown -10.5 W by 20 +9.5
12/13 Home SC Upstate -29.5 W by 18 -11.5
12/16 Home E Tennessee St -17.5 W by 19 +1.5
12/20 Neutral Ohio St -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
12/22 Home E Carolina -25.5 W by 48 +22.5
12/30 Home Florida St -12.0 W by 13 +1.0
01/03 Away SMU +1.0 L by 14 -13.0
01/10 Home Wake Forest -10.0 W by 3 -7.0
01/14 Away Stanford -4.0 L by 5 -9.0
01/17 Away California -7.5 L by 6 -13.5
01/21 Home Notre Dame -13.5 W by 22 +8.5
01/24 Away Virginia +6.5 W by 5 +11.5
01/31 Away Georgia Tech -10.5 W by 16 +5.5
02/02 Home Syracuse -11.5 W by 10 -1.5
02/07 Home Duke +6.0 W by 3 +9.0
02/10 Away Miami -1.0 L by 9 -10.0
02/14 Home Pittsburgh -11.5 W by 14 +2.5
02/17 Away NC State +8.0 L by 24 -16.0
02/21 Away Syracuse +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
02/23 Home Louisville +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
02/28 Home Virginia Tech -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
03/03 Home Clemson -2.5 W by 4 +1.5
03/07 Away Duke +18.5 L by 15 +3.5
03/12 Neutral Clemson +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
03/19 Neutral VCU -2.5 L by 4 -6.5

SMU Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Tarleton St -21.5 W by 20 -1.5
11/06 Home Texas A&M-CC -23.5 W by 11 -12.5
11/11 Home Murray St -9.5 W by 11 +1.5
11/15 Home Butler -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
11/18 Home AR-Pine Bluff -34.5 W by 46 +11.5
11/21 Home Arkansas St -14.5 W by 31 +16.5
11/24 Home Radford -25.0 W by 17 -8.0
11/28 Away Mississippi St +1.0 W by 6 +7.0
12/03 Away Vanderbilt +10.5 L by 19 -8.5
12/07 Neutral Texas A&M +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
12/13 Neutral LSU +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
12/21 Home C Arkansas -24.5 W by 17 -7.5
12/28 Home CS Fullerton -22.0 W by 47 +25.0
01/03 Home North Carolina -1.0 W by 14 +13.0
01/07 Away Clemson +4.0 L by 4 0.0
01/10 Away Duke +16.0 L by 7 +9.0
01/14 Home Virginia Tech -9.0 W by 1 -8.0
01/17 Home Virginia +2.0 L by 4 -2.0
01/20 Away Wake Forest +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
01/24 Home Florida St -12.0 W by 3 -9.0
01/31 Away Louisville +9.5 L by 14 -4.5
02/03 Home NC State (Pick) L by 1 -1.0
02/07 Away Pittsburgh -4.0 W by 19 +15.0
02/10 Home Notre Dame -10.5 W by 8 -2.5
02/14 Away Syracuse -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
02/17 Home Louisville +4.0 W by 10 +14.0
02/21 Home Boston College -15.5 W by 24 +8.5
02/25 Away California -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
02/28 Away Stanford -1.5 L by 20 -21.5
03/04 Home Miami -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
03/07 Away Florida St +1.5 L by 13 -11.5
03/10 Neutral Syracuse -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
03/11 Neutral Louisville +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
03/18 Neutral Miami OH -7.5 L by 10 -17.5