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North Carolina at Miami: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Feb 10, 2026 7:00 pm - Coral Gables, FL
Odds: North Carolina by 1, Total Points: 156.5

Matchup Menu: UNC @ MIA

More Games From Feb 10, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Miami +1.0 Official TR Pick Miami 52% odds to cover
Miami +1.0 Similar Games Miami 59% odds to cover
Miami +1.0 Decision Tree Miami 52% odds to cover
Miami +1.0 Predictive Ratings Miami 53% odds to cover
North Carolina -1.0 Power Rating Model North Carolina 51% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record UNC adv MIA
Season 19-14-0 18-15-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-8-0 10-9-1
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-4-0 6-4-0
Home 12-6-0 7-9-1
Away 7-8-0 11-6-0

North Carolina Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home C Arkansas -31.0 W by 40 +9.0
11/07 Home Kansas -3.0 W by 13 +10.0
11/11 Home Radford -20.0 W by 15 -5.0
11/14 Home NC Central -34.0 W by 44 +10.0
11/18 Home Navy -26.5 W by 12 -14.5
11/25 Neutral St Bonaventure -11.0 W by 15 +4.0
11/27 Neutral Michigan St +1.0 L by 16 -15.0
12/02 Away Kentucky +7.5 W by 3 +10.5
12/07 Home Georgetown -10.5 W by 20 +9.5
12/13 Home SC Upstate -29.5 W by 18 -11.5
12/16 Home E Tennessee St -17.5 W by 19 +1.5
12/20 Neutral Ohio St -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
12/22 Home E Carolina -25.5 W by 48 +22.5
12/30 Home Florida St -12.0 W by 13 +1.0
01/03 Away SMU +1.0 L by 14 -13.0
01/10 Home Wake Forest -10.0 W by 3 -7.0
01/14 Away Stanford -4.0 L by 5 -9.0
01/17 Away California -7.5 L by 6 -13.5
01/21 Home Notre Dame -13.5 W by 22 +8.5
01/24 Away Virginia +6.5 W by 5 +11.5
01/31 Away Georgia Tech -10.5 W by 16 +5.5
02/02 Home Syracuse -11.5 W by 10 -1.5
02/07 Home Duke +6.0 W by 3 +9.0
02/10 Away Miami -1.0 L by 9 -10.0
02/14 Home Pittsburgh -11.5 W by 14 +2.5
02/17 Away NC State +8.0 L by 24 -16.0
02/21 Away Syracuse +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
02/23 Home Louisville +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
02/28 Home Virginia Tech -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
03/03 Home Clemson -2.5 W by 4 +1.5
03/07 Away Duke +18.5 L by 15 +3.5
03/12 Neutral Clemson +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
03/19 Neutral VCU -2.5 L by 4 -6.5

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Jacksonville -20.0 W by 17 -3.0
11/06 Home Bethune -16.5 W by 40 +23.5
11/10 Home Stetson -34.0 W by 41 +7.0
11/16 Neutral Florida +11.0 L by 14 -3.0
11/20 Home Elon -20.0 W by 27 +7.0
11/23 Home Delaware St -- W by 56 --
11/27 Neutral BYU +7.0 L by 10 -3.0
11/28 Neutral Georgetown -5.5 W by 13 +7.5
12/02 Away Mississippi +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
12/06 Home Southern Miss -19.0 W by 24 +5.0
12/13 Home UL Monroe -36.0 W by 25 -11.0
12/16 Home Florida Intl -22.5 W by 17 -5.5
12/21 Home N Florida -37.5 W by 38 +0.5
12/30 Home Pittsburgh -9.5 W by 7 -2.5
01/07 Away Wake Forest +1.0 W by 4 +5.0
01/10 Home Georgia Tech -15.5 W by 10 -5.5
01/13 Away Notre Dame -5.0 W by 12 +7.0
01/17 Away Clemson +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
01/20 Home Florida St -11.0 L by 2 -13.0
01/24 Away Syracuse -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
01/28 Home Stanford -9.0 W by 9 0.0
01/31 Home California -11.5 L by 1 -12.5
02/07 Away Boston College -8.0 W by 6 -2.0
02/10 Home North Carolina +1.0 W by 9 +10.0
02/14 Away NC State +6.5 W by 1 +7.5
02/17 Home Virginia Tech -8.0 W by 1 -7.0
02/21 Away Virginia +7.5 L by 3 +4.5
02/24 Away Florida St -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
02/28 Home Boston College -15.5 W by 22 +6.5
03/04 Away SMU +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
03/07 Home Louisville -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
03/12 Neutral Louisville +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
03/13 Neutral Virginia +3.5 L by 22 -18.5
03/20 Neutral Missouri -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
03/22 Neutral Purdue +7.5 L by 10 -2.5