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North Carolina at Duke: Point Spread Line Movement

Saturday Mar 7, 2026 6:30 pm - Durham, NC
Odds: Duke by 18.5, Total Points: 147.5

Matchup Menu: UNC @ DUKE

More Games From Mar 7, 2026
DUKE Spread UNC Spread
DUKE -18.5 Open -17.5 High -18.5
Last -17.5 Low -17.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 786 games where the closing line favored the home team by 17.5 to 19.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Duke won the game 753 times (95.8%).
  • The team like North Carolina won the game 33 times (4.2%).
  • The team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 397-381-8 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2980 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 1482-1443-55 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -- -18.5 --
Open -- -17.5 --
History
03/07 06:06 PM -- -18.5 --
03/07 05:54 PM -- -18.5 --
03/07 05:14 PM -- -18.5 --
03/07 09:24 AM -- -17.5 --
03/06 06:47 PM -- -17.5 --