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Arizona St at Baylor: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 4:00 pm - Waco, TX
Odds: Baylor by 8.5, Total Points: 157.5

Matchup Menu: ASU @ BAY

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 157.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 157.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over
Under 157.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ASU	BAY
Season	16-17-0	17-16-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-11-0	9-10-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 2
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	3-7-0	5-5-0
Home	4-11-0	11-5-0
Away	12-6-0	6-11-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Arizona St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	S Utah	151.0	81-64	Under	-6.0
11/09	Home	Utah Tech	152.5	81-66	Under	-5.5
11/14	Home	Gonzaga	158.5	65-77	Under	-16.5
11/17	Home	Georgia St	145.5	75-62	Under	-8.5
11/20	Away	Hawai'i	143.5	83-76	Over	+15.5
11/24	Neutral	Texas	152.5	87-86	Over	+20.5
11/25	Neutral	Washington St	157.5	100-94	Over	+36.5
11/26	Neutral	USC	161.5	75-88	Over	+1.5
12/06	Neutral	Oklahoma	157.5	86-70	Under	-1.5
12/09	Home	N Arizona	154.5	73-48	Under	-33.5
12/13	Neutral	Santa Clara	154.5	82-79	Over	+6.5
12/17	Away	UCLA	142.5	77-90	Over	+24.5
12/21	Home	Oregon St	147.5	75-78	Over	+5.5
01/03	Home	Colorado	156.5	89-95	Over	+27.5
01/07	Away	BYU	169.0	76-104	Over	+11.0
01/10	Home	Kansas St	169.5	87-84	Over	+1.5
01/14	Away	Arizona	168.0	82-89	Over	+3.0
01/18	Away	Houston	142.5	73-103	Over	+33.5
01/21	Home	West Virginia	145.0	63-75	Under	-7.0
01/24	Home	Cincinnati	146.5	82-68	Over	+3.5
01/27	Away	UCF	161.5	76-79	Under	-6.5
01/31	Home	Arizona	163.5	74-87	Under	-2.5
02/04	Away	Utah	162.0	71-63	Under	-28.0
02/07	Away	Colorado	158.5	70-78	Under	-10.5
02/10	Home	Oklahoma St	163.0	85-76	Under	-2.0
02/17	Home	Texas Tech	155.0	72-67	Under	-16.0
02/21	Away	Baylor	157.5	68-73	Under	-16.5
02/24	Away	TCU	149.5	78-90	Over	+18.5
02/28	Home	Utah	151.5	73-60	Under	-18.5
03/03	Home	Kansas	151.5	70-60	Under	-21.5
03/07	Away	Iowa St	148.5	65-86	Over	+2.5
03/10	Neutral	Baylor	152.5	83-79	Over	+9.5
03/11	Neutral	Iowa St	148.5	42-91	Under	-15.5

Baylor Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	UT Rio Grande	154.5	96-81	Over	+22.5
11/09	Home	Washington	156.5	78-69	Under	-9.5
11/14	Home	Tarleton St	149.5	94-81	Over	+25.5
11/24	Neutral	Creighton	155.5	81-74	Under	-0.5
11/25	Neutral	St John's	159.5	81-96	Over	+17.5
11/26	Neutral	San Diego St	148.5	91-81	Over	+23.5
12/02	Home	Sacramento St	158.5	110-88	Over	+39.5
12/06	Away	Memphis	158.5	71-78	Under	-9.5
12/10	Home	Norfolk St	148.5	97-67	Over	+15.5
12/19	Home	Alcorn St	161.0	113-56	Over	+8.0
12/21	Home	Southern	169.5	111-67	Over	+8.5
12/29	Home	Arlington Baptist College	--	124-61	Under	--
01/03	Away	TCU	154.5	63-69	Under	-22.5
01/07	Home	Iowa St	155.5	60-70	Under	-25.5
01/10	Home	Houston	142.5	55-77	Under	-10.5
01/13	Away	Oklahoma St	165.5	94-79	Over	+7.5
01/16	Away	Kansas	156.0	62-80	Under	-14.0
01/20	Home	Texas Tech	154.5	73-92	Over	+10.5
01/24	Home	TCU	147.0	90-97	Over	+40.0
01/28	Away	Cincinnati	146.5	57-67	Under	-22.5
01/31	Away	West Virginia	139.0	63-53	Under	-23.0
02/04	Home	Colorado	156.0	86-67	Under	-3.0
02/07	Away	Iowa St	151.5	69-72	Under	-10.5
02/10	Home	BYU	158.5	94-99	Over	+34.5
02/14	Neutral	Louisville	162.5	71-82	Under	-9.5
02/17	Away	Kansas St	158.5	74-90	Over	+5.5
02/21	Home	Arizona St	157.5	73-68	Under	-16.5
02/24	Home	Arizona	155.5	80-87	Over	+11.5
02/28	Away	UCF	160.5	87-86	Over	+12.5
03/04	Away	Houston	143.5	64-77	Under	-2.5
03/07	Home	Utah	148.5	101-75	Over	+27.5
03/10	Neutral	Arizona St	152.5	79-83	Over	+9.5
04/01	Neutral	Minnesota	147.0	67-48	Under	-32.0
04/04	Neutral	Oklahoma	158.5	69-82	Under	-7.5