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Michigan St at Wisconsin: Recap

Friday Feb 13, 2026 8:00 pm - Madison, WI
Odds: Michigan State by 2, Total Points: 148

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Michigan St MSU 54.6%
WIS 45.4%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
WIS +2.0 MSU 49.7%
WIS 50.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 148.0 Over 50.4%
Under 49.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
WIS +122 MSU -4.1%
WIS +0.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MSU 75.1 75.0 71
WIS 73.1 73.0 92

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MSU WIS
Points/Game 78.8 83.0
Avg Score Margin +10.5 +6.9
Assists/Game 18.6 16.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 39.7 35.5
Effective FG % 53.8% 54.5%
Off Rebound % 36.3% 27.0%
FTA/FGA 0.359 0.315
Turnover % 14.5% 11.2%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MSU WIS
Opp Points/Game 68.3 76.1
Opp Effective FG % 48.9% 51.4%
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.8 8.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 25.9 23.4
Blocks/Game 4.1 3.1
Steals/Game 5.1 5.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 16.0 17.0