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Florida St at Pittsburgh: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Mar 4, 2026 9:00 pm - Pittsburgh, PA
Odds: Florida State by 1.5, Total Points: 144.5

Matchup Menu: FSU @ PITT

More Games From Mar 4, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 144.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 144.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under
Over 144.5	Similar Games	56% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	FSU	PITT
Season	17-16-0	17-15-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	12-8-0	11-8-1
Streak	Ov 4	Ov 1
Last 5	4-1-0	2-3-0
Last 10	7-3-0	5-5-0
Home	8-9-0	13-5-0
Away	9-7-0	4-10-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Florida St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Alcorn St	157.0	108-76	Over	+27.0
11/07	Home	Alabama St	166.5	101-64	Under	-1.5
11/11	Away	Florida	180.5	76-78	Under	-26.5
11/18	Home	UT Martin	165.0	87-73	Under	-5.0
11/21	Home	Georgia So	175.5	98-72	Under	-5.5
11/25	Home	CS Bakersfield	159.5	89-59	Under	-11.5
11/28	Neutral	Texas A&M	175.0	59-95	Under	-21.0
12/02	Home	Georgia	176.5	73-107	Over	+3.5
12/06	Neutral	Houston	148.5	67-82	Over	+0.5
12/13	Neutral	UMass	165.5	95-103	Over	+32.5
12/16	Away	Dayton	163.0	69-97	Over	+3.0
12/19	Home	Miss Valley St	164.5	96-49	Under	-19.5
12/22	Home	Jacksonville	160.0	87-63	Under	-10.0
12/30	Away	North Carolina	166.5	66-79	Under	-21.5
01/03	Home	Duke	163.0	87-91	Over	+15.0
01/10	Home	NC State	160.0	69-113	Over	+22.0
01/13	Away	Syracuse	160.5	86-94	Over	+19.5
01/17	Home	Wake Forest	168.5	68-69	Under	-31.5
01/20	Away	Miami	163.5	65-63	Under	-35.5
01/24	Away	SMU	164.5	80-83	Under	-1.5
01/28	Home	California	157.5	63-61	Under	-33.5
01/31	Home	Stanford	150.5	88-80	Over	+17.5
02/07	Away	Notre Dame	153.0	82-79	Over	+8.0
02/10	Home	Virginia	156.0	58-61	Under	-37.0
02/14	Away	Virginia Tech	156.5	92-69	Over	+4.5
02/17	Home	Boston College	148.0	80-72	Over	+4.0
02/21	Away	Clemson	143.5	70-65	Under	-8.5
02/24	Home	Miami	153.5	73-83	Over	+2.5
02/28	Away	Georgia Tech	158.5	80-71	Under	-7.5
03/04	Away	Pittsburgh	144.5	75-74	Over	+4.5
03/07	Home	SMU	158.5	91-78	Over	+10.5
03/11	Neutral	California	154.5	95-89	Over	+29.5
03/12	Neutral	Duke	150.5	79-80	Over	+8.5

Pittsburgh Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Youngstown St	145.5	74-59	Under	-12.5
11/07	Home	Longwood	146.5	78-60	Under	-8.5
11/10	Home	E Michigan	141.0	78-66	Over	+3.0
11/13	Away	West Virginia	134.0	49-71	Under	-14.0
11/17	Home	Bucknell	142.0	84-50	Under	-8.0
11/20	Neutral	UCF	149.5	67-77	Under	-5.5
11/23	Home	Quinnipiac	142.5	75-83	Over	+15.5
11/28	Home	Ohio St	148.5	67-66	Under	-15.5
12/02	Home	Texas A&M	152.5	73-81	Over	+1.5
12/07	Home	Hofstra	134.0	73-80	Over	+19.0
12/13	Away	Villanova	138.0	61-79	Over	+2.0
12/17	Home	Binghamton	135.0	103-63	Over	+31.0
12/21	Neutral	Penn St	146.5	80-46	Under	-20.5
12/30	Away	Miami	145.0	69-76	Push	0.0
01/03	Home	Clemson	135.5	68-73	Over	+5.5
01/10	Home	Syracuse	141.5	72-83	Over	+13.5
01/14	Away	Georgia Tech	146.0	89-66	Over	+9.0
01/17	Home	Louisville	152.5	59-100	Over	+6.5
01/21	Away	Boston College	136.5	62-65	Under	-9.5
01/24	Home	NC State	146.0	72-81	Over	+7.0
01/27	Home	Wake Forest	152.0	80-76	Over	+4.0
01/31	Away	Clemson	134.5	52-63	Under	-19.5
02/03	Away	Virginia	142.5	47-67	Under	-28.5
02/07	Home	SMU	147.5	67-86	Over	+5.5
02/10	Home	Duke	136.5	54-70	Under	-12.5
02/14	Away	North Carolina	144.5	65-79	Under	-0.5
02/21	Home	Notre Dame	138.0	73-68	Over	+3.0
02/25	Away	Stanford	138.5	67-75	Over	+3.5
02/28	Away	California	144.5	72-56	Under	-16.5
03/04	Home	Florida St	144.5	74-75	Over	+4.5
03/07	Away	Syracuse	141.5	71-69	Under	-1.5
03/10	Neutral	Stanford	136.5	64-63	Under	-9.5
03/11	Neutral	NC State	144.5	88-98	Over	+41.5