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Florida St at Dayton: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Dec 16, 2025 7:00 pm - Dayton, OH
Odds: Dayton by 7, Total Points: 163

Matchup Menu: FSU @ DAY

More Games From Dec 16, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Dayton -6.5 Official TR Pick Dayton 53% odds to cover
Dayton -6.5 Similar Games Dayton 59% odds to cover
Dayton -6.5 Decision Tree Dayton 54% odds to cover
Florida St +6.5 Power Rating Model Florida St 52% odds to cover
Florida St +6.5 Predictive Ratings Florida St 52% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record FSU adv DAY
Season 19-13-1 18-19-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 12-7-1 10-11-0
Streak W3 L1
Last 5 4-1-0 3-2-0
Last 10 7-3-0 6-4-0
Home 10-6-1 8-10-0
Away 9-7-0 10-9-0

Florida St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Alcorn St -27.0 W by 32 +5.0
11/07 Home Alabama St -25.0 W by 37 +12.0
11/11 Away Florida +18.0 L by 2 +16.0
11/18 Home UT Martin -20.0 W by 14 -6.0
11/21 Home Georgia So -18.5 W by 26 +7.5
11/25 Home CS Bakersfield -25.0 W by 30 +5.0
11/28 Neutral Texas A&M -1.5 L by 36 -37.5
12/02 Home Georgia -1.0 L by 34 -35.0
12/06 Neutral Houston +13.0 L by 15 -2.0
12/13 Neutral UMass -13.0 L by 8 -21.0
12/16 Away Dayton +7.0 L by 28 -21.0
12/19 Home Miss Valley St -39.5 W by 47 +7.5
12/22 Home Jacksonville -23.5 W by 24 +0.5
12/30 Away North Carolina +12.0 L by 13 -1.0
01/03 Home Duke +16.5 L by 4 +12.5
01/10 Home NC State +4.5 L by 44 -39.5
01/13 Away Syracuse +5.0 L by 8 -3.0
01/17 Home Wake Forest +1.0 L by 1 0.0
01/20 Away Miami +11.0 W by 2 +13.0
01/24 Away SMU +12.0 L by 3 +9.0
01/28 Home California -3.5 W by 2 -1.5
01/31 Home Stanford -3.5 W by 8 +4.5
02/07 Away Notre Dame +1.0 W by 3 +4.0
02/10 Home Virginia +8.0 L by 3 +5.0
02/14 Away Virginia Tech +5.0 W by 23 +28.0
02/17 Home Boston College -12.0 W by 8 -4.0
02/21 Away Clemson +8.5 W by 5 +13.5
02/24 Home Miami +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
02/28 Away Georgia Tech -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
03/04 Away Pittsburgh -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
03/07 Home SMU -1.5 W by 13 +11.5
03/11 Neutral California -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
03/12 Neutral Duke +16.5 L by 1 +15.5

Dayton Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Canisius -25.5 W by 40 +14.5
11/08 Home UMBC -25.5 W by 6 -19.5
11/11 Away Cincinnati +6.0 L by 12 -6.0
11/15 Home Bethune -21.5 W by 9 -12.5
11/19 Away Marquette +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
11/22 Home NC Central -28.0 W by 19 -9.0
11/27 Neutral Georgetown -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
11/28 Neutral BYU +9.5 L by 4 +5.5
12/02 Home E Tennessee St -11.5 W by 17 +5.5
12/06 Neutral Virginia +4.5 L by 13 -8.5
12/13 Home N Florida -31.5 W by 23 -8.5
12/16 Home Florida St -7.0 W by 28 +21.0
12/20 Home Liberty -9.5 L by 3 -12.5
12/31 Home Fordham -16.0 W by 7 -9.0
01/03 Away Loyola Chi -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
01/06 Home G Washington -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
01/13 Away Duquesne -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
01/16 Home Loyola Chi -16.5 W by 27 +10.5
01/21 Away La Salle -10.5 L by 3 -13.5
01/24 Away Saint Joseph's -6.5 L by 7 -13.5
01/27 Home Rhode Island -8.5 L by 5 -13.5
01/30 Away Saint Louis +9.5 L by 31 -21.5
02/03 Home St Bonaventure -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
02/06 Away VCU +8.5 L by 26 -17.5
02/15 Home Davidson -5.0 W by 11 +6.0
02/18 Away George Mason +2.0 W by 15 +17.0
02/21 Home Duquesne -7.0 W by 12 +5.0
02/24 Home Saint Louis +3.5 W by 15 +18.5
02/27 Away G Washington +2.5 W by 2 +4.5
03/03 Away Richmond -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
03/06 Home VCU -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
03/13 Neutral St Bonaventure -5.5 W by 5 -0.5
03/14 Neutral Saint Louis +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
03/15 Neutral VCU +2.5 L by 8 -5.5
03/18 Away Bradley -2.5 W by 14 +11.5
03/21 Away NC Wilmington -3.5 W by 19 +15.5
03/25 Home Illinois St -7.5 L by 6 -13.5