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Stony Brook at Yale: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 15, 2025 1:00 pm - New Haven, CT
Odds: Yale by 20.5, Total Points: 150

Matchup Menu: STON @ YALE

More Games From Nov 15, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring STON YALE
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting STON YALE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 57.1
Field Goal % 42.0% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 29.2 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 30.2 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 43.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.0 21.6
Free Throw % 73.4% 73.2%
Ball Control STON YALE
Rebounds 30.4 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 10.8
Turnovers 9.2 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.4
Steals 4.9 5.0
Fouls 14.6 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STON YALE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with STON YALE
2 Point Attempt 37.6% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 38.9% 28.4%
Player Fouled 19.0% 21.6%
Turnover 13.6% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken STON YALE
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 32.9%