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S Indiana at Little Rock: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 28, 2026 4:00 pm - Little Rock, AR
Odds: Little Rock by 5.5, Total Points: 139.5

Matchup Menu: USI @ UALR

More Games From Feb 28, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring USI UALR
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting USI UALR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 61.3
Field Goal % 35.6% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 46.5
2 Point Shooting % 39.0% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 14.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 36.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 17.2
Free Throw % 67.6% 68.4%
Ball Control USI UALR
Rebounds 39.4 39.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.7 12.1
Turnovers 10.6 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.7 6.5
Steals 5.1 6.1
Fouls 12.4 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USI UALR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with USI UALR
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 56.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 17.9%
Player Fouled 20.1% 17.7%
Turnover 15.2% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken USI UALR
Shot Blocked 10.8% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 34.9% 32.8%