This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

Rutgers vs. Creighton: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Apr 2, 2026 10:54 pm - Las Vegas, NV (Neutral Site)
Odds: Creighton by 2.5, Total Points: 149.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring RUTG CREI
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting RUTG CREI
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 58.5
Field Goal % 42.4% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 45.6 29.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 28.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 35.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 16.6
Free Throw % 74.4% 77.4%
Ball Control RUTG CREI
Rebounds 35.0 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 8.6
Turnovers 7.5 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.3
Steals 5.3 4.5
Fouls 13.9 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RUTG CREI
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with RUTG CREI
2 Point Attempt 56.3% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 20.0% 36.1%
Player Fouled 19.5% 20.0%
Turnover 10.8% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken RUTG CREI
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 25.8%