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Queens at Arkansas: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Dec 16, 2025 9:00 pm - Fayetteville, AR
Odds: Arkansas by 23, Total Points: 169.5

Matchup Menu: QNC @ ARK

More Games From Dec 16, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring QNC ARK
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting QNC ARK
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 64.8 63.8
Field Goal % 43.1% 56.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 44.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 64.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 40.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 28.6
Free Throw % 74.2% 75.1%
Ball Control QNC ARK
Rebounds 29.5 41.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.1 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 11.7
Turnovers 10.1 7.1
Blocked Shots 1.8 5.6
Steals 3.7 6.7
Fouls 17.7 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats QNC ARK
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with QNC ARK
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 49.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 22.1%
Player Fouled 19.6% 23.1%
Turnover 13.2% 9.2%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 4.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken QNC ARK
Shot Blocked 8.8% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 36.7%