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Toledo at Michigan St: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Dec 16, 2025 6:30 pm - East Lansing, MI
Odds: Michigan State by 23, Total Points: 150.5

Matchup Menu: TOL @ MSU

More Games From Dec 16, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Toledo +22.5 Official TR Pick Toledo 50% odds to cover
Toledo +22.5 Power Rating Model Toledo 59% odds to cover
Toledo +22.5 Decision Tree Toledo 50% odds to cover
Toledo +22.5 Predictive Ratings Toledo 51% odds to cover
Michigan St -22.5 Similar Games Michigan St 55% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TOL adv MSU
Season 18-13-1 17-16-2
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 14-7-0 11-9-1
Streak W2 L1
Last 5 4-1-0 3-2-0
Last 10 7-3-0 6-4-0
Home 6-7-0 7-9-1
Away 12-6-1 10-7-1

Toledo Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home S Alabama -3.0 L by 2 -5.0
11/08 Home Marshall -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
11/11 Away Wright St +5.5 W by 10 +15.5
11/15 Home Detroit Mercy -10.0 W by 7 -3.0
11/19 Home Youngstown St -1.0 W by 17 +16.0
11/24 Neutral Troy +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
11/26 Neutral Belmont +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
12/01 Home Central State (OH) -- W by 44 --
12/06 Away Oakland +4.0 L by 1 +3.0
12/13 Away Robert Morris (Pick) L by 5 -5.0
12/16 Away Michigan St +23.0 L by 23 0.0
12/20 Home Lourdes -- W by 33 --
12/30 Home W Michigan -10.5 W by 5 -5.5
01/03 Away C Michigan -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
01/06 Away N Illinois -8.0 W by 14 +6.0
01/09 Home Miami OH -1.0 L by 14 -15.0
01/13 Home Ohio -2.0 W by 16 +14.0
01/16 Away Kent St +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
01/20 Away UMass +2.5 L by 2 +0.5
01/24 Home Bowling Green +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
01/27 Away Akron +12.5 L by 10 +2.5
01/31 Home Ball St -8.5 W by 18 +9.5
02/03 Home Kent St (Pick) L by 3 -3.0
02/07 Away J Madison -1.0 L by 2 -3.0
02/11 Away W Michigan -6.0 W by 11 +5.0
02/14 Away Bowling Green +4.0 L by 10 -6.0
02/21 Home E Michigan -8.5 W by 19 +10.5
02/24 Home N Illinois -12.5 W by 10 -2.5
02/28 Away Ohio +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
03/03 Away Miami OH +7.5 L by 2 +5.5
03/06 Home Buffalo -5.5 W by 20 +14.5
03/12 Neutral Bowling Green -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
03/13 Neutral UMass -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
03/14 Neutral Akron +7.5 L by 3 +4.5

Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Colgate -22.0 W by 11 -11.0
11/08 Home Arkansas -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
11/13 Home San Jose St -24.5 W by 19 -5.5
11/18 Neutral Kentucky +3.5 W by 17 +20.5
11/21 Home Detroit Mercy -30.5 W by 28 -2.5
11/25 Neutral E Carolina -20.0 W by 33 +13.0
11/27 Neutral North Carolina -1.0 W by 16 +15.0
12/02 Home Iowa -4.5 W by 19 +14.5
12/06 Home Duke +1.0 L by 6 -5.0
12/13 Away Penn St -12.5 W by 4 -8.5
12/16 Home Toledo -23.0 W by 23 0.0
12/20 Neutral Oakland -20.0 W by 9 -11.0
12/29 Home Cornell -23.5 W by 17 -6.5
01/02 Away Nebraska +2.0 L by 2 0.0
01/05 Home USC -12.0 W by 29 +17.0
01/08 Home Northwestern -13.0 W by 10 -3.0
01/13 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 21 +14.5
01/17 Away Washington -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
01/20 Away Oregon -10.0 W by 16 +6.0
01/24 Home Maryland -18.5 W by 43 +24.5
01/27 Away Rutgers -14.5 W by 9 -5.5
01/30 Home Michigan +2.5 L by 12 -9.5
02/04 Away Minnesota -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
02/07 Home Illinois -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/13 Away Wisconsin -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
02/17 Home UCLA -8.0 W by 23 +15.0
02/22 Home Ohio St -10.5 W by 6 -4.5
02/26 Away Purdue +6.5 W by 2 +8.5
03/01 Away Indiana -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
03/05 Home Rutgers -19.5 W by 4 -15.5
03/08 Away Michigan +10.5 L by 10 +0.5
03/13 Neutral UCLA -5.5 L by 4 -9.5
03/19 Neutral N Dakota St -15.5 W by 25 +9.5
03/21 Neutral Louisville -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/27 Neutral UConn +2.5 L by 4 -1.5