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Toledo at C Michigan: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Jan 3, 2026 3:00 pm - Mount Pleasant, MI
Odds: Toledo by 7.5, Total Points: 158

Matchup Menu: TOL @ CMU

More Games From Jan 3, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 159.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 159.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over
Under 159.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TOL	CMU
Season	13-19-0	13-16-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-12-0	7-11-0
Streak	Un 2	Ov 1
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	4-6-0	5-5-0
Home	6-7-0	5-6-0
Away	7-12-0	8-10-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Toledo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	S Alabama	151.0	74-76	Under	-1.0
11/08	Home	Marshall	161.0	73-85	Under	-3.0
11/11	Away	Wright St	159.0	81-71	Under	-7.0
11/15	Home	Detroit Mercy	158.5	90-83	Over	+14.5
11/19	Home	Youngstown St	160.5	92-75	Over	+6.5
11/24	Neutral	Troy	160.5	75-68	Under	-17.5
11/26	Neutral	Belmont	163.5	72-87	Under	-4.5
12/01	Home	Central State (OH)	--	102-58	Under	--
12/06	Away	Oakland	166.5	97-98	Over	+28.5
12/13	Away	Robert Morris	154.5	70-75	Under	-9.5
12/16	Away	Michigan St	150.5	69-92	Over	+10.5
12/20	Home	Lourdes	--	100-67	Under	--
12/30	Home	W Michigan	160.0	84-79	Over	+3.0
01/03	Away	C Michigan	158.0	78-75	Under	-5.0
01/06	Away	N Illinois	160.0	75-61	Under	-24.0
01/09	Home	Miami OH	166.0	73-87	Under	-6.0
01/13	Home	Ohio	161.5	101-85	Over	+24.5
01/16	Away	Kent St	168.0	84-87	Over	+3.0
01/20	Away	UMass	163.5	82-84	Over	+2.5
01/24	Home	Bowling Green	156.5	73-72	Under	-11.5
01/27	Away	Akron	169.5	81-91	Over	+2.5
01/31	Home	Ball St	146.5	73-55	Under	-18.5
02/03	Home	Kent St	161.5	72-75	Under	-14.5
02/07	Away	J Madison	153.0	71-73	Under	-9.0
02/11	Away	W Michigan	155.0	90-79	Over	+14.0
02/14	Away	Bowling Green	151.0	70-80	Under	-1.0
02/21	Home	E Michigan	146.5	94-75	Over	+22.5
02/24	Home	N Illinois	149.5	79-69	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Ohio	158.5	79-67	Under	-12.5
03/03	Away	Miami OH	162.5	72-74	Under	-16.5
03/06	Home	Buffalo	155.5	98-78	Over	+20.5
03/12	Neutral	Bowling Green	150.5	77-76	Over	+2.5
03/13	Neutral	UMass	158.5	77-67	Under	-14.5
03/14	Neutral	Akron	157.5	76-79	Under	-2.5

C Michigan Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	App State	142.0	82-66	Over	+6.0
11/08	Away	Bradley	147.0	54-85	Under	-8.0
11/13	Neutral	S Alabama	143.0	64-66	Under	-13.0
11/14	Neutral	Coppin St	142.0	82-59	Under	-1.0
11/20	Home	N Kentucky	145.5	66-90	Over	+10.5
11/22	Away	Marquette	152.0	71-85	Over	+4.0
11/25	Home	Adrian College	--	112-67	Under	--
12/02	Away	Loyola Chi	141.0	72-83	Over	+14.0
12/07	Away	Saint Louis	160.5	65-107	Over	+11.5
12/13	Away	Stony Brook	146.5	55-78	Under	-13.5
12/17	Home	Olivet College	--	85-65	Under	--
12/20	Away	N Illinois	149.5	73-74	Under	-2.5
12/22	Away	Wisconsin	152.5	61-88	Under	-3.5
12/30	Home	Ohio	151.5	64-80	Under	-7.5
01/03	Home	Toledo	158.0	75-78	Under	-5.0
01/06	Away	Akron	164.0	69-82	Under	-13.0
01/10	Home	Kent St	156.0	87-85	Over	+16.0
01/13	Away	Miami OH	159.5	61-100	Over	+1.5
01/20	Home	Ball St	142.5	67-68	Under	-7.5
01/24	Away	W Michigan	148.5	65-77	Under	-6.5
01/27	Home	E Michigan	140.0	100-65	Over	+25.0
01/31	Home	Bowling Green	149.5	62-59	Under	-28.5
02/03	Away	UMass	151.5	89-95	Over	+32.5
02/07	Away	Louisiana	134.0	80-85	Over	+31.0
02/14	Home	N Illinois	146.5	88-46	Under	-12.5
02/17	Away	E Michigan	142.5	54-66	Under	-22.5
02/21	Home	W Michigan	150.5	83-70	Over	+2.5
02/24	Away	Kent St	156.5	81-83	Over	+7.5
02/28	Away	Buffalo	151.5	75-70	Under	-6.5
03/03	Home	Akron	158.5	64-77	Under	-17.5
03/06	Away	Ball St	135.5	69-85	Over	+18.5