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Toledo at W Michigan: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Feb 11, 2026 7:00 pm - Kalamazoo, MI
Odds: Toledo by 6, Total Points: 155

Matchup Menu: TOL @ WMU

More Games From Feb 11, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Toledo -6.0 Official TR Pick Toledo 52% odds to cover
Toledo -6.0 Decision Tree Toledo 52% odds to cover
W Michigan +6.0 Power Rating Model W Michigan 64% odds to cover
W Michigan +6.0 Similar Games W Michigan 52% odds to cover
W Michigan +6.0 Predictive Ratings W Michigan 54% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TOL adv WMU
Season 18-13-1 16-12-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 14-7-0 10-8-0
Streak W2 W1
Last 5 4-1-0 3-2-0
Last 10 7-3-0 4-6-0
Home 6-7-0 8-5-0
Away 12-6-1 8-7-0

Toledo Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home S Alabama -3.0 L by 2 -5.0
11/08 Home Marshall -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
11/11 Away Wright St +5.5 W by 10 +15.5
11/15 Home Detroit Mercy -10.0 W by 7 -3.0
11/19 Home Youngstown St -1.0 W by 17 +16.0
11/24 Neutral Troy +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
11/26 Neutral Belmont +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
12/01 Home Central State (OH) -- W by 44 --
12/06 Away Oakland +4.0 L by 1 +3.0
12/13 Away Robert Morris (Pick) L by 5 -5.0
12/16 Away Michigan St +23.0 L by 23 0.0
12/20 Home Lourdes -- W by 33 --
12/30 Home W Michigan -10.5 W by 5 -5.5
01/03 Away C Michigan -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
01/06 Away N Illinois -8.0 W by 14 +6.0
01/09 Home Miami OH -1.0 L by 14 -15.0
01/13 Home Ohio -2.0 W by 16 +14.0
01/16 Away Kent St +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
01/20 Away UMass +2.5 L by 2 +0.5
01/24 Home Bowling Green +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
01/27 Away Akron +12.5 L by 10 +2.5
01/31 Home Ball St -8.5 W by 18 +9.5
02/03 Home Kent St (Pick) L by 3 -3.0
02/07 Away J Madison -1.0 L by 2 -3.0
02/11 Away W Michigan -6.0 W by 11 +5.0
02/14 Away Bowling Green +4.0 L by 10 -6.0
02/21 Home E Michigan -8.5 W by 19 +10.5
02/24 Home N Illinois -12.5 W by 10 -2.5
02/28 Away Ohio +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
03/03 Away Miami OH +7.5 L by 2 +5.5
03/06 Home Buffalo -5.5 W by 20 +14.5
03/12 Neutral Bowling Green -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
03/13 Neutral UMass -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
03/14 Neutral Akron +7.5 L by 3 +4.5

W Michigan Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Coastal Car -2.0 W by 5 +3.0
11/06 Home Northwood (MI) -- L by 4 --
11/09 Away Campbell +9.5 L by 9 +0.5
11/12 Home Purdue FW +3.5 W by 12 +15.5
11/16 Away South Dakota +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
11/20 Away Ohio St +26.5 L by 33 -6.5
11/23 Home Mt St Mary's (Pick) W by 23 +23.0
11/29 Away Valparaiso +5.0 L by 29 -24.0
12/03 Home S Indiana -5.5 W by 14 +8.5
12/06 Away SIU Edward +5.5 W by 10 +15.5
12/14 Away Iowa +25.5 L by 40 -14.5
12/20 Home Buffalo +2.5 L by 17 -14.5
12/22 Home Defiance -- W by 37 --
12/30 Away Toledo +10.5 L by 5 +5.5
01/06 Away Miami OH +14.5 L by 11 +3.5
01/10 Home E Michigan +1.5 W by 17 +18.5
01/13 Home UMass +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
01/17 Away Akron +21.5 L by 15 +6.5
01/20 Home Bowling Green +6.5 L by 18 -11.5
01/24 Home C Michigan -4.5 W by 12 +7.5
01/27 Away N Illinois +1.5 L by 20 -18.5
02/03 Away Ohio +9.0 L by 20 -11.0
02/07 Away Texas St +6.0 L by 16 -10.0
02/11 Home Toledo +6.0 L by 11 -5.0
02/14 Away E Michigan +6.5 W by 14 +20.5
02/17 Home Akron +14.0 L by 17 -3.0
02/21 Away C Michigan +3.5 L by 13 -9.5
02/24 Away Bowling Green +11.5 W by 9 +20.5
02/27 Home Miami OH +11.5 L by 2 +9.5
03/03 Home Ball St -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
03/06 Away Kent St +13.5 L by 8 +5.5