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UTSA at S Florida: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Feb 4, 2026 7:00 pm - Tampa, FL
Odds: South Florida by 24, Total Points: 164.5

Matchup Menu: UTSA @ USF

More Games From Feb 4, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
UTSA +25.5 Official TR Pick UTSA 51% odds to cover
UTSA +25.5 Power Rating Model UTSA 74% odds to cover
UTSA +25.5 Decision Tree UTSA 51% odds to cover
UTSA +25.5 Predictive Ratings UTSA 57% odds to cover
S Florida -25.5 Similar Games S Florida 58% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record UTSA adv USF
Season 10-18-0 18-15-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 7-11-0 12-8-0
Streak W1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 6-4-0 7-3-0
Home 5-7-0 9-5-0
Away 5-11-0 9-10-0

UTSA Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home College of Biblical Studies -- W by 67 --
11/07 Home SIU Edward -6.0 L by 17 -23.0
11/12 Away Texas St +3.5 L by 11 -7.5
11/15 Away Denver +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/18 Home Southwestern Christian -- W by 33 --
11/24 Neutral Abl Christian +2.0 L by 11 -9.0
11/25 Neutral Georgia So +3.5 W by 13 +16.5
11/30 Home S Alabama +2.0 L by 24 -22.0
12/07 Away Alabama +33.5 L by 42 -8.5
12/13 Away Colorado +22.5 L by 24 -1.5
12/17 Away USC +25.5 L by 27 -1.5
12/22 Home Seattle +11.0 L by 3 +8.0
12/31 Away Florida Atlantic +16.5 L by 40 -23.5
01/03 Away Temple +10.5 L by 19 -8.5
01/07 Home Charlotte +6.5 L by 16 -9.5
01/10 Home Tulane +8.0 L by 33 -25.0
01/14 Home Rice +6.0 L by 16 -10.0
01/18 Away Memphis +20.0 L by 26 -6.0
01/21 Away N Texas +15.0 L by 19 -4.0
01/24 Home Temple +10.5 L by 6 +4.5
01/28 Home UAB +12.5 L by 10 +2.5
02/04 Away S Florida +24.0 L by 21 +3.0
02/07 Home N Texas +10.0 L by 23 -13.0
02/11 Away E Carolina +10.5 L by 16 -5.5
02/15 Away Charlotte +14.0 W by 9 +23.0
02/18 Home Florida Atlantic +11.5 L by 8 +3.5
02/22 Away Tulsa +21.5 L by 26 -4.5
02/25 Home E Carolina +4.5 L by 1 +3.5
03/01 Home Wichita St +15.5 L by 17 -1.5
03/08 Away Rice +11.5 L by 9 +2.5

S Florida Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Florida A&M -26.0 W by 35 +9.0
11/08 Neutral G Washington (Pick) L by 4 -4.0
11/12 Home Coppin St -34.0 W by 50 +16.0
11/16 Away Kennesaw St -7.5 W by 19 +11.5
11/19 Away Oklahoma St +3.5 L by 8 -4.5
11/26 Neutral VCU +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
11/27 Neutral W Kentucky -7.5 W by 6 -1.5
11/28 Neutral Colorado St -3.0 L by 15 -18.0
12/04 Home Utah St -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
12/10 Home Charleston -13.5 W by 6 -7.5
12/17 Away Alabama +14.5 L by 11 +3.5
12/21 Home UMBC -22.5 W by 25 +2.5
12/29 Home Georgia College St. & U -- W by 61 --
01/04 Home UAB -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
01/07 Away N Texas -4.5 W by 4 -0.5
01/10 Away Tulsa +1.5 W by 15 +16.5
01/14 Home E Carolina -18.5 W by 11 -7.5
01/18 Home Wichita St -7.5 L by 1 -8.5
01/22 Away UAB -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
01/25 Home Florida Atlantic -5.5 W by 14 +8.5
01/28 Away Tulane -8.5 W by 14 +5.5
01/31 Away Temple -9.5 L by 1 -10.5
02/04 Home UTSA -24.0 W by 21 -3.0
02/08 Home Tulsa -5.0 W by 6 +1.0
02/11 Away Wichita St (Pick) W by 8 +8.0
02/15 Away Florida Atlantic -5.0 W by 2 -3.0
02/19 Home Memphis -9.0 W by 21 +12.0
02/25 Away Rice -11.5 W by 19 +7.5
03/01 Home Tulane -15.5 W by 28 +12.5
03/05 Away Memphis -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
03/08 Home Charlotte -17.5 W by 23 +5.5
03/14 Neutral Charlotte -15.5 W by 22 +6.5
03/15 Neutral Wichita St -6.5 W by 15 +8.5
03/19 Neutral Louisville +2.5 L by 4 -1.5