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UMBC at S Florida: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Dec 21, 2025 3:00 pm - Tampa, FL
Odds: South Florida by 22.5, Total Points: 160

Matchup Menu: UMBC @ USF

More Games From Dec 21, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 159.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 159.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Over 159.5	Similar Games	61% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	UMBC	USF
Season	14-17-0	15-18-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	8-11-0	7-13-0
Streak	Ov 1	Ov 1
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	2-8-0
Home	7-8-0	5-9-0
Away	7-9-0	10-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

UMBC Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Penn St.-York	--	74-53	Under	--
11/08	Away	Dayton	154.5	71-77	Under	-6.5
11/11	Away	Morgan St	162.0	81-79	Under	-2.0
11/16	Home	Wagner	140.0	71-70	Over	+1.0
11/19	Away	G Washington	160.5	52-89	Under	-19.5
11/24	Home	Notre Dame (MD)	--	102-52	Under	--
11/29	Home	Delaware St	138.5	71-57	Under	-10.5
12/03	Away	Georgetown	149.5	81-90	Over	+21.5
12/06	Away	Bucknell	143.5	73-66	Under	-4.5
12/09	Home	Buffalo	145.5	79-83	Over	+16.5
12/12	Home	Army	148.0	60-63	Under	-25.0
12/21	Away	S Florida	160.0	69-94	Over	+3.0
12/29	Away	Coppin St	148.5	93-59	Over	+3.5
01/08	Home	Maine	134.0	69-62	Under	-3.0
01/10	Home	New Hampshire	144.5	75-74	Over	+4.5
01/15	Away	Bryant	135.5	74-79	Over	+17.5
01/19	Away	Binghamton	140.5	78-60	Under	-2.5
01/22	Home	NJIT	143.5	87-74	Over	+17.5
01/24	Home	UMass Lowell	151.5	79-56	Under	-16.5
01/29	Away	Vermont	142.0	55-64	Under	-23.0
01/31	Away	Albany	141.0	68-65	Under	-8.0
02/05	Home	Binghamton	138.0	79-62	Over	+3.0
02/12	Away	Maine	135.0	78-62	Over	+5.0
02/14	Away	New Hampshire	145.0	85-63	Over	+3.0
02/19	Home	Vermont	142.0	75-62	Under	-5.0
02/21	Home	Albany	144.5	66-62	Under	-16.5
02/26	Home	Bryant	138.5	70-58	Under	-10.5
02/28	Away	UMass Lowell	150.5	84-60	Under	-6.5
03/03	Away	NJIT	143.5	91-52	Under	-0.5
03/07	Home	New Hampshire	141.5	84-69	Over	+11.5
03/10	Home	UMass Lowell	147.5	91-69	Over	+12.5
03/14	Home	Vermont	134.5	74-59	Under	-1.5
03/17	Neutral	Howard	144.5	83-86	Over	+24.5

S Florida Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Florida A&M	153.5	102-67	Over	+15.5
11/08	Neutral	G Washington	159.5	95-99	Over	+34.5
11/12	Home	Coppin St	168.0	100-50	Under	-18.0
11/16	Away	Kennesaw St	177.0	108-89	Over	+20.0
11/19	Away	Oklahoma St	178.5	95-103	Over	+19.5
11/26	Neutral	VCU	173.0	66-78	Under	-29.0
11/27	Neutral	W Kentucky	167.5	97-91	Over	+20.5
11/28	Neutral	Colorado St	155.5	68-83	Under	-4.5
12/04	Home	Utah St	162.0	74-61	Under	-27.0
12/10	Home	Charleston	160.5	81-75	Under	-4.5
12/17	Away	Alabama	178.5	93-104	Over	+18.5
12/21	Home	UMBC	160.0	94-69	Over	+3.0
12/29	Home	Georgia College St. & U	--	111-50	Under	--
01/04	Home	UAB	163.5	106-109	Over	+51.5
01/07	Away	N Texas	148.0	74-70	Under	-4.0
01/10	Away	Tulsa	164.0	93-78	Over	+7.0
01/14	Home	E Carolina	158.0	82-71	Under	-5.0
01/18	Home	Wichita St	159.0	85-86	Over	+12.0
01/22	Away	UAB	169.5	82-69	Under	-18.5
01/25	Home	Florida Atlantic	166.5	89-75	Under	-2.5
01/28	Away	Tulane	158.5	97-83	Over	+21.5
01/31	Away	Temple	154.5	78-79	Over	+2.5
02/04	Home	UTSA	164.5	109-88	Over	+32.5
02/08	Home	Tulsa	170.5	80-74	Under	-16.5
02/11	Away	Wichita St	159.5	66-58	Under	-35.5
02/15	Away	Florida Atlantic	165.5	83-81	Under	-1.5
02/19	Home	Memphis	163.0	87-66	Under	-10.0
02/25	Away	Rice	157.5	75-56	Under	-26.5
03/01	Home	Tulane	155.5	90-62	Under	-3.5
03/05	Away	Memphis	163.5	96-89	Over	+21.5
03/08	Home	Charlotte	156.5	83-60	Under	-13.5
03/14	Neutral	Charlotte	154.5	86-64	Under	-4.5
03/15	Neutral	Wichita St	150.5	70-55	Under	-25.5
03/19	Neutral	Louisville	160.5	79-83	Over	+1.5