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Miami OH at Buffalo: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Feb 3, 2026 6:30 pm - Buffalo, NY
Odds: Miami (OH) by 4.5, Total Points: 164.5

Matchup Menu: M-OH @ BUFF

More Games From Feb 3, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 164.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 164.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under
Over 164.5	Similar Games	57% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	M-OH	BUFF
Season	20-11-0	16-14-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-8-0	10-9-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	5-5-0	4-6-0
Home	10-3-0	7-6-0
Away	10-8-0	9-8-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miami OH Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Old Dominion	151.0	87-72	Over	+8.0
11/07	Home	Trinity Christian	--	129-49	Under	--
11/15	Away	Air Force	143.5	76-61	Under	-6.5
11/20	Home	Mercyhurst	139.0	76-71	Over	+8.0
11/23	Home	AR-Pine Bluff	160.0	111-84	Over	+35.0
11/26	Neutral	NC Greensboro	150.5	82-71	Over	+2.5
12/02	Home	Indiana East	--	109-65	Under	--
12/06	Home	Maine	140.0	93-61	Over	+14.0
12/10	Away	NC Asheville	152.5	90-87	Over	+24.5
12/13	Away	E Kentucky	159.0	79-69	Under	-11.0
12/16	Away	Wright St	149.5	83-76	Over	+9.5
12/20	Away	Ball St	148.0	86-77	Over	+15.0
12/22	Home	Milligan	--	135-81	Under	--
12/30	Away	Bowling Green	150.5	93-83	Over	+25.5
01/03	Home	Akron	177.0	76-73	Under	-28.0
01/06	Home	W Michigan	160.0	87-76	Over	+3.0
01/09	Away	Toledo	166.0	87-73	Under	-6.0
01/13	Home	C Michigan	159.5	100-61	Over	+1.5
01/17	Home	Buffalo	162.5	105-102	Over	+44.5
01/20	Away	Kent St	167.5	107-101	Over	+40.5
01/27	Home	UMass	164.5	86-84	Over	+5.5
01/31	Home	N Illinois	156.5	85-61	Under	-10.5
02/03	Away	Buffalo	164.5	73-71	Under	-20.5
02/07	Away	Marshall	163.5	90-74	Over	+0.5
02/13	Home	Ohio	163.5	90-74	Over	+0.5
02/17	Away	UMass	164.0	86-77	Under	-1.0
02/20	Home	Bowling Green	154.0	91-77	Over	+14.0
02/24	Away	E Michigan	151.5	74-64	Under	-13.5
02/27	Away	W Michigan	161.5	69-67	Under	-25.5
03/03	Home	Toledo	162.5	74-72	Under	-16.5
03/06	Away	Ohio	159.5	110-108	Over	+58.5
03/12	Neutral	UMass	160.5	83-87	Over	+9.5
03/18	Neutral	SMU	161.5	89-79	Over	+6.5
03/20	Neutral	Tennessee	148.5	56-78	Under	-14.5

Buffalo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Southern Miss	154.0	85-79	Over	+10.0
11/07	Home	Green Bay	148.0	83-76	Over	+11.0
11/11	Away	DePaul	153.5	66-53	Under	-34.5
11/15	Home	RIT	--	80-64	Under	--
11/18	Home	Vermont	141.5	94-90	Over	+42.5
11/24	Neutral	VMI	151.0	78-70	Under	-3.0
11/26	Neutral	Bucknell	147.0	73-71	Under	-3.0
11/29	Away	Canisius	139.0	71-53	Under	-15.0
12/06	Home	St Bonaventure	144.0	69-77	Over	+2.0
12/09	Away	UMBC	145.5	83-79	Over	+16.5
12/14	Away	E Carolina	146.5	70-73	Under	-3.5
12/20	Away	W Michigan	151.0	88-71	Over	+8.0
12/22	Home	Penn St.-Behrend	--	92-63	Under	--
12/31	Away	N Illinois	155.0	81-67	Under	-7.0
01/03	Home	Ball St	144.5	85-72	Over	+12.5
01/10	Away	Ohio	156.0	80-91	Over	+15.0
01/13	Home	Kent St	165.5	81-87	Over	+2.5
01/17	Away	Miami OH	162.5	102-105	Over	+44.5
01/20	Home	Akron	166.5	63-82	Under	-21.5
01/23	Home	UMass	159.5	67-68	Under	-24.5
01/27	Away	Bowling Green	150.0	89-78	Over	+17.0
01/31	Home	Ohio	156.5	83-95	Over	+21.5
02/03	Home	Miami OH	164.5	71-73	Under	-20.5
02/07	Away	S Alabama	144.0	69-81	Over	+6.0
02/11	Away	Ball St	141.5	63-53	Under	-25.5
02/17	Home	N Illinois	147.0	70-72	Under	-5.0
02/21	Away	UMass	151.5	86-82	Over	+16.5
02/24	Away	Akron	160.5	85-99	Over	+23.5
02/28	Home	C Michigan	151.5	70-75	Under	-6.5
03/03	Home	E Michigan	144.5	72-67	Under	-5.5
03/06	Away	Toledo	155.5	78-98	Over	+20.5
03/12	Neutral	Akron	158.5	70-73	Under	-15.5