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Illinois St at Murray St: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Jan 28, 2026 9:00 pm - Murray, KY
Odds: Murray State by 2.5, Total Points: 158.5

Matchup Menu: ILST @ MURR

More Games From Jan 28, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 159.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go over
Over 159.5	Similar Games	51% odds to go over
Over 159.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ILST	MURR
Season	15-20-0	19-14-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	8-13-0	10-11-0
Streak	Ov 1	Ov 4
Last 5	2-3-0	4-1-0
Last 10	4-6-0	6-4-0
Home	6-9-0	6-9-0
Away	9-11-0	13-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Illinois St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/06	Away	Ohio	161.0	68-72	Under	-21.0
11/09	Home	Cornell	166.0	76-65	Under	-25.0
11/14	Neutral	USC	154.5	67-87	Under	-0.5
11/16	Away	Long Beach St	142.5	82-80	Over	+19.5
11/20	Home	Rockford	--	93-48	Under	--
11/23	Home	Coastal Car	143.0	94-42	Under	-7.0
11/27	Neutral	Charlotte	140.0	79-69	Over	+8.0
11/28	Neutral	Furman	145.5	72-65	Under	-8.5
12/03	Home	E Kentucky	154.5	89-78	Over	+12.5
12/06	Home	Chicago St	145.0	95-53	Over	+3.0
12/13	Neutral	Utah St	148.0	78-83	Over	+13.0
12/18	Away	S Illinois	153.5	75-68	Under	-10.5
12/21	Home	Indiana St	152.5	85-65	Under	-2.5
12/29	Away	Drake	145.5	73-56	Under	-16.5
01/01	Home	Evansville	144.0	73-47	Under	-24.0
01/07	Away	Valparaiso	138.5	71-77	Over	+9.5
01/10	Home	Illinois Chicago	141.0	59-63	Under	-19.0
01/14	Away	Indiana St	149.0	89-94	Over	+34.0
01/17	Home	Bradley	147.5	88-62	Over	+2.5
01/21	Home	N Iowa	132.0	59-54	Under	-19.0
01/24	Away	Belmont	150.5	69-80	Under	-1.5
01/28	Away	Murray St	158.5	70-65	Under	-23.5
02/03	Home	S Illinois	141.5	50-54	Under	-37.5
02/06	Home	Drake	145.5	86-76	Over	+16.5
02/09	Away	Evansville	138.0	80-88	Over	+30.0
02/12	Home	Valparaiso	138.5	86-64	Over	+11.5
02/15	Away	Illinois Chicago	140.0	56-83	Under	-1.0
02/18	Home	Murray St	158.0	78-61	Under	-19.0
02/21	Away	Bradley	144.5	60-74	Under	-10.5
02/25	Away	N Iowa	132.5	71-69	Over	+7.5
03/01	Home	Belmont	150.5	81-74	Over	+4.5
03/06	Neutral	N Iowa	130.5	52-74	Under	-4.5
03/18	Home	Kent St	153.5	79-58	Under	-16.5
03/22	Away	Wake Forest	152.5	78-75	Over	+0.5
03/25	Away	Dayton	140.5	61-55	Under	-24.5
04/02	Neutral	Auburn	149.5	66-88	Over	+4.5

Murray St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Neutral	Omaha	154.5	85-77	Over	+7.5
11/07	Home	Miss Valley St	160.0	108-60	Over	+8.0
11/11	Away	SMU	164.5	91-102	Over	+28.5
11/15	Home	Nicholls	158.0	99-79	Over	+20.0
11/18	Home	Little Rock	153.5	89-68	Over	+3.5
11/23	Neutral	Middle Tenn	163.5	87-90	Over	+13.5
11/24	Neutral	McNeese	158.5	60-73	Under	-25.5
11/25	Neutral	G Washington	167.5	96-95	Over	+23.5
12/02	Home	Morehead St	158.5	84-52	Under	-22.5
12/06	Home	Bellarmine	157.0	81-68	Under	-8.0
12/13	Neutral	Akron	168.5	115-100	Over	+46.5
12/18	Home	Drake	156.5	81-72	Under	-3.5
12/21	Away	Valparaiso	155.0	85-79	Over	+9.0
12/29	Home	S Illinois	165.5	84-81	Under	-0.5
01/01	Away	Illinois Chicago	160.0	81-77	Under	-2.0
01/04	Home	Bradley	162.5	86-66	Under	-10.5
01/07	Away	Evansville	152.5	79-69	Under	-4.5
01/10	Home	Valparaiso	152.5	92-79	Over	+18.5
01/17	Home	Indiana St	167.0	85-81	Under	-1.0
01/21	Away	Drake	158.5	90-101	Over	+32.5
01/24	Away	N Iowa	144.5	76-81	Over	+12.5
01/28	Home	Illinois St	158.5	65-70	Under	-23.5
01/31	Away	Belmont	163.5	86-103	Over	+25.5
02/03	Home	Illinois Chicago	158.0	81-74	Under	-3.0
02/06	Away	S Illinois	157.5	91-81	Over	+14.5
02/09	Home	N Iowa	144.0	60-89	Over	+5.0
02/12	Away	Indiana St	163.5	74-72	Under	-17.5
02/15	Home	Belmont	166.5	70-87	Under	-9.5
02/18	Away	Illinois St	158.0	61-78	Under	-19.0
02/21	Home	Evansville	153.5	88-75	Over	+9.5
03/01	Away	Bradley	157.5	78-87	Over	+7.5
03/06	Neutral	Illinois Chicago	150.5	79-92	Over	+20.5
03/18	Away	Nevada	159.5	75-89	Over	+4.5