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Arkansas St at Southern Miss: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Dec 20, 2025 4:30 pm - Hattiesburg, MS
Odds: Arkansas State by 2, Total Points: 155.5

Matchup Menu: ARST @ USM

More Games From Dec 20, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Southern Miss +1.5 Official TR Pick Southern Miss 51% odds to cover
Southern Miss +1.5 Power Rating Model Southern Miss 60% odds to cover
Southern Miss +1.5 Similar Games Southern Miss 52% odds to cover
Southern Miss +1.5 Decision Tree Southern Miss 51% odds to cover
Southern Miss +1.5 Predictive Ratings Southern Miss 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ARST adv USM
Season 15-15-0 16-16-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 7-12-0 12-10-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 4-1-0
Last 10 4-6-0 8-2-0
Home 7-6-0 5-6-0
Away 8-9-0 11-10-0

Arkansas St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Ohio +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
11/07 Away SF Austin (Pick) L by 25 -25.0
11/11 Away Missouri St +2.5 W by 1 +3.5
11/15 Home Christian Brothers -- W by 28 --
11/19 Away Saint Mary's +20.5 L by 13 +7.5
11/21 Away SMU +14.5 L by 31 -16.5
11/24 Home Jacksonville St -4.5 W by 11 +6.5
11/28 Home N Dakota St -3.0 W by 5 +2.0
12/02 Home UT Arlington -5.5 W by 20 +14.5
12/06 Away Little Rock -9.5 W by 12 +2.5
12/13 Away Rice -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
12/17 Away Texas St -5.0 W by 19 +14.0
12/20 Away Southern Miss -2.0 W by 7 +5.0
12/30 Home Arkansas Tech -- W by 44 --
01/03 Home J Madison -10.0 L by 4 -14.0
01/07 Home Troy -4.5 W by 12 +7.5
01/10 Home Texas St -11.5 W by 1 -10.5
01/15 Away S Alabama -4.0 L by 4 -8.0
01/17 Away Troy +3.5 L by 25 -21.5
01/22 Away Georgia So -1.5 W by 17 +15.5
01/24 Away Georgia St -4.5 L by 1 -5.5
01/28 Home Old Dominion -9.5 L by 4 -13.5
01/31 Home Marshall -4.5 L by 9 -13.5
02/04 Away Coastal Car -4.5 W by 4 -0.5
02/07 Home Bowling Green -2.5 W by 37 +34.5
02/11 Home UL Monroe -18.5 W by 33 +14.5
02/14 Home S Alabama -7.5 L by 4 -11.5
02/19 Away Louisiana -8.5 W by 17 +8.5
02/21 Away UL Monroe -15.5 W by 8 -7.5
02/24 Home Southern Miss -9.5 W by 5 -4.5
02/27 Home Louisiana -13.5 W by 23 +9.5
03/05 Neutral Georgia So -7.5 L by 3 -10.5

Southern Miss Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Buffalo +3.5 L by 6 -2.5
11/06 Home Tougaloo -- W by 36 --
11/09 Away South Carolina +17.0 L by 4 +13.0
11/13 Away Grambling +2.0 L by 5 -3.0
11/18 Home William Carey -- W by 23 --
11/22 Neutral N Florida -9.5 W by 9 -0.5
11/23 Neutral UT Martin -- W by 10 --
12/03 Away Radford +3.5 W by 7 +10.5
12/06 Away Miami +19.0 L by 24 -5.0
12/08 Home Grambling -8.5 W by 8 -0.5
12/13 Neutral Mississippi +13.0 L by 4 +9.0
12/18 Home Louisiana -11.5 W by 8 -3.5
12/20 Home Arkansas St +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
12/29 Away LSU +21.5 L by 28 -6.5
01/01 Away UL Monroe -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
01/03 Away Louisiana -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
01/08 Home Texas St -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
01/10 Home UL Monroe -14.5 W by 10 -4.5
01/14 Away Troy +9.0 L by 26 -17.0
01/17 Away Texas St +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
01/22 Away Georgia St +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
01/24 Away Coastal Car +2.5 L by 18 -15.5
01/29 Home App State +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
01/31 Home J Madison +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
02/04 Away Marshall +10.5 L by 4 +6.5
02/07 Home Kent St +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
02/12 Home S Alabama -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
02/14 Home Troy +5.0 W by 4 +9.0
02/21 Home Old Dominion -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
02/24 Away Arkansas St +9.5 L by 5 +4.5
02/27 Away S Alabama +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
03/05 Neutral J Madison +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
03/06 Neutral Texas St +1.5 W by 4 +5.5
03/07 Neutral App State +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
03/08 Neutral Troy +5.5 L by 8 -2.5