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Arkansas St at Saint Mary's: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Nov 19, 2025 10:00 pm - Moraga, CA
Odds: Saint Mary's by 20.5, Total Points: 149.5

Matchup Menu: ARST @ SMC

More Games From Nov 19, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 149.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 149.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under
Over 149.5	Similar Games	51% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ARST	SMC
Season	15-14-1	14-18-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-8-1	7-12-0
Streak	Un 2	Un 4
Last 5	2-3-0	1-4-0
Last 10	4-6-0	3-7-0
Home	5-7-1	9-7-0
Away	10-7-0	5-11-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Arkansas St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Ohio	158.5	89-85	Over	+15.5
11/07	Away	SF Austin	155.5	65-90	Under	-0.5
11/11	Away	Missouri St	152.0	86-85	Over	+19.0
11/15	Home	Christian Brothers	--	95-67	Under	--
11/19	Away	Saint Mary's	149.5	72-85	Over	+7.5
11/21	Away	SMU	172.5	69-100	Under	-3.5
11/24	Home	Jacksonville St	156.0	74-63	Under	-19.0
11/28	Home	N Dakota St	160.5	85-80	Over	+4.5
12/02	Home	UT Arlington	151.5	83-63	Under	-5.5
12/06	Away	Little Rock	147.5	90-78	Over	+20.5
12/13	Away	Rice	156.5	76-77	Under	-3.5
12/17	Away	Texas St	151.5	89-70	Over	+7.5
12/20	Away	Southern Miss	155.5	93-86	Over	+23.5
12/30	Home	Arkansas Tech	--	107-63	Under	--
01/03	Home	J Madison	159.0	74-78	Under	-7.0
01/07	Home	Troy	160.0	86-74	Push	0.0
01/10	Home	Texas St	156.0	83-82	Over	+9.0
01/15	Away	S Alabama	154.0	87-91	Over	+24.0
01/17	Away	Troy	166.0	74-99	Over	+7.0
01/22	Away	Georgia So	175.0	85-68	Under	-22.0
01/24	Away	Georgia St	156.5	81-82	Over	+6.5
01/28	Home	Old Dominion	159.5	71-75	Under	-13.5
01/31	Home	Marshall	165.5	61-70	Under	-34.5
02/04	Away	Coastal Car	152.0	70-66	Under	-16.0
02/07	Home	Bowling Green	154.5	91-54	Under	-9.5
02/11	Home	UL Monroe	162.5	103-70	Over	+10.5
02/14	Home	S Alabama	149.5	88-92	Over	+30.5
02/19	Away	Louisiana	144.5	79-62	Under	-3.5
02/21	Away	UL Monroe	166.5	102-94	Over	+29.5
02/24	Home	Southern Miss	158.5	89-84	Over	+14.5
02/27	Home	Louisiana	146.5	81-58	Under	-7.5
03/05	Neutral	Georgia So	165.5	77-80	Under	-8.5

Saint Mary's Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	St Thomas	140.5	84-58	Over	+1.5
11/07	Home	Chattanooga	145.5	87-66	Over	+7.5
11/11	Home	Ohio	144.5	90-60	Over	+5.5
11/14	Home	N Texas	128.5	80-49	Over	+0.5
11/19	Home	Arkansas St	149.5	85-72	Over	+7.5
11/22	Home	UC Merced	--	96-42	Under	--
11/26	Neutral	Wichita St	139.5	70-65	Under	-4.5
11/27	Neutral	Virginia Tech	144.5	77-66	Under	-1.5
11/28	Neutral	Vanderbilt	148.5	71-96	Over	+18.5
12/07	Away	Davidson	137.5	70-61	Under	-6.5
12/14	Neutral	Boise St	139.5	67-68	Under	-4.5
12/19	Home	Florida Atlantic	145.5	88-75	Over	+17.5
12/22	Home	N Iowa	132.5	63-58	Under	-11.5
12/28	Away	Loyola Mymt	143.0	78-73	Over	+8.0
12/30	Away	Pepperdine	141.5	72-45	Under	-24.5
01/02	Home	Portland	146.5	78-57	Under	-11.5
01/04	Home	Seattle	139.5	93-76	Over	+29.5
01/10	Home	Washington St	143.5	88-82	Over	+26.5
01/13	Away	San Francisco	140.5	82-68	Over	+9.5
01/17	Away	Santa Clara	153.0	54-62	Under	-37.0
01/21	Home	Oregon St	141.5	81-51	Under	-9.5
01/24	Away	Portland	145.5	75-69	Under	-1.5
01/31	Away	Gonzaga	144.5	65-73	Under	-6.5
02/04	Home	San Diego	148.0	87-60	Under	-1.0
02/07	Home	San Francisco	142.5	79-54	Under	-9.5
02/11	Home	Pepperdine	142.5	88-60	Over	+5.5
02/14	Away	Pacific	135.5	72-61	Under	-2.5
02/18	Away	Seattle	133.0	72-70	Over	+9.0
02/21	Away	Washington St	148.5	83-67	Over	+1.5
02/25	Home	Santa Clara	153.5	86-67	Under	-0.5
02/28	Home	Gonzaga	143.5	70-59	Under	-14.5
03/09	Neutral	Santa Clara	150.5	71-76	Under	-3.5
03/19	Neutral	Texas A&M	149.5	50-63	Under	-36.5