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Arkansas at Missouri: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Mar 7, 2026 12:00 pm - Columbia, MO
Odds: Missouri by 2.5, Total Points: 163.5

Matchup Menu: ARK @ MIZZ

More Games From Mar 7, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 162.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 162.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under
Over 162.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ARK	MIZZ
Season	22-15-0	16-16-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	12-9-0	10-8-1
Streak	Ov 3	Ov 3
Last 5	4-1-0	3-2-0
Last 10	8-2-0	7-3-0
Home	12-5-0	10-8-0
Away	10-10-0	6-8-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Arkansas Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Southern	149.5	109-77	Over	+36.5
11/08	Away	Michigan St	155.5	66-69	Under	-20.5
11/11	Home	C Arkansas	158.5	93-56	Under	-9.5
11/14	Home	Samford	159.5	79-75	Under	-5.5
11/18	Home	Winthrop	168.5	84-83	Under	-1.5
11/21	Home	Jackson St	160.0	115-61	Over	+16.0
11/27	Neutral	Duke	160.0	71-80	Under	-9.0
12/03	Home	Louisville	166.5	89-80	Over	+2.5
12/06	Neutral	Fresno St	161.5	82-58	Under	-21.5
12/13	Neutral	Texas Tech	155.0	93-86	Over	+24.0
12/16	Home	Queens	169.5	108-80	Over	+18.5
12/20	Neutral	Houston	146.0	85-94	Over	+33.0
12/29	Home	J Madison	159.5	103-74	Over	+17.5
01/03	Home	Tennessee	158.5	86-75	Over	+2.5
01/07	Away	Mississippi	152.0	94-87	Over	+29.0
01/10	Away	Auburn	169.0	73-95	Under	-1.0
01/14	Home	South Carolina	155.0	108-74	Over	+27.0
01/17	Away	Georgia	181.5	76-90	Under	-15.5
01/20	Home	Vanderbilt	173.5	93-68	Under	-12.5
01/24	Home	LSU	164.5	85-81	Over	+1.5
01/27	Away	Oklahoma	167.5	83-79	Under	-5.5
01/31	Home	Kentucky	161.5	77-85	Over	+0.5
02/07	Away	Mississippi St	164.0	88-68	Under	-8.0
02/10	Away	LSU	159.0	91-62	Under	-6.0
02/14	Home	Auburn	165.0	88-75	Under	-2.0
02/18	Away	Alabama	184.0	115-117	Over	+48.0
02/21	Home	Missouri	159.5	94-86	Over	+20.5
02/25	Home	Texas A&M	170.5	99-84	Over	+12.5
02/28	Away	Florida	168.5	77-111	Over	+19.5
03/04	Home	Texas	163.5	105-85	Over	+26.5
03/07	Away	Missouri	163.5	88-84	Over	+8.5
03/13	Neutral	Oklahoma	167.5	82-79	Under	-6.5
03/14	Neutral	Mississippi	159.5	93-90	Over	+23.5
03/15	Neutral	Vanderbilt	165.5	86-75	Under	-4.5
03/19	Neutral	Hawai'i	158.5	97-78	Over	+16.5
03/21	Neutral	High Point	171.5	94-88	Over	+10.5
03/26	Neutral	Arizona	166.5	88-109	Over	+30.5

Missouri Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Howard	158.5	88-67	Under	-3.5
11/07	Home	SE Missouri St	157.5	89-84	Over	+15.5
11/09	Home	VMI	161.5	106-68	Over	+12.5
11/12	Home	Minnesota	158.5	83-60	Under	-15.5
11/17	Home	Prairie View	166.5	91-73	Under	-2.5
11/20	Home	South Dakota	172.5	102-68	Under	-2.5
11/25	Home	S Carolina St	160.5	98-66	Over	+3.5
11/28	Home	Cleveland St	170.5	86-59	Under	-25.5
12/02	Away	Notre Dame	146.5	71-76	Over	+0.5
12/07	Neutral	Kansas	150.5	60-80	Under	-10.5
12/11	Home	Alabama St	155.5	85-77	Over	+6.5
12/14	Home	Bethune	146.5	82-60	Under	-4.5
12/22	Neutral	Illinois	152.0	48-91	Under	-13.0
01/03	Home	Florida	154.5	76-74	Under	-4.5
01/07	Away	Kentucky	151.0	73-68	Under	-10.0
01/10	Away	Mississippi	143.5	69-76	Over	+1.5
01/14	Home	Auburn	153.5	84-74	Over	+4.5
01/17	Away	LSU	148.0	70-78	Push	0.0
01/20	Home	Georgia	163.5	72-74	Under	-17.5
01/24	Home	Oklahoma	151.5	88-87	Over	+23.5
01/27	Away	Alabama	166.5	64-90	Under	-12.5
01/31	Home	Mississippi St	149.5	84-79	Over	+13.5
02/07	Away	South Carolina	146.5	78-59	Under	-9.5
02/11	Away	Texas A&M	158.0	86-85	Over	+13.0
02/14	Home	Texas	150.5	68-85	Over	+2.5
02/18	Home	Vanderbilt	153.5	81-80	Over	+7.5
02/21	Away	Arkansas	159.5	86-94	Over	+20.5
02/24	Home	Tennessee	144.5	73-69	Under	-2.5
02/28	Away	Mississippi St	155.5	88-64	Under	-3.5
03/03	Away	Oklahoma	153.5	64-80	Under	-9.5
03/07	Home	Arkansas	163.5	84-88	Over	+8.5
03/12	Neutral	Kentucky	148.5	72-78	Over	+1.5
03/20	Neutral	Miami	145.5	66-80	Over	+0.5