Arkansas at Michigan St: Point Spread Line Movement

Saturday Nov 8, 2025 7:00 pm - East Lansing, MI
Odds: Michigan State by 2.5, Total Points: 155.5

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4077 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:

• The team like Michigan State won the game 2356 times (57.8%).
• The team like Arkansas won the game 1721 times (42.2%).
• The team like Michigan State did better against the spread, going 2011-2003-63 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2980 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 1482-1443-55 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.