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Arkansas at Florida: Over/Under Analysis
Saturday Feb 28, 2026 8:30 pm -
Gainesville, FL
Odds:
Florida by 9.5,
Total Points:
168.5
Matchup Menu: ARK @ FLA
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 168.5 | Official TR Pick | 52% odds to go under |
| Under 168.5 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go under |
| Over 168.5 | Similar Games | 59% odds to go over |
Over/Under Situational Trends
| Record | ARK | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season | 22-15-0 | 14-20-1 |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| vs Conference | 12-9-0 | 8-11-1 |
| Streak | Ov 3 | Un 1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 5-5-0 |
| Home | 12-5-0 | 6-8-1 |
| Away | 10-10-0 | 8-12-0 |
Records denote overs-unders-pushes
Arkansas Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Southern | 149.5 | 109-77 | Over | +36.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Michigan St | 155.5 | 66-69 | Under | -20.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | C Arkansas | 158.5 | 93-56 | Under | -9.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Samford | 159.5 | 79-75 | Under | -5.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Winthrop | 168.5 | 84-83 | Under | -1.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Jackson St | 160.0 | 115-61 | Over | +16.0 |
| 11/27 | Neutral | Duke | 160.0 | 71-80 | Under | -9.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Louisville | 166.5 | 89-80 | Over | +2.5 |
| 12/06 | Neutral | Fresno St | 161.5 | 82-58 | Under | -21.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | Texas Tech | 155.0 | 93-86 | Over | +24.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Queens | 169.5 | 108-80 | Over | +18.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Houston | 146.0 | 85-94 | Over | +33.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | J Madison | 159.5 | 103-74 | Over | +17.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Tennessee | 158.5 | 86-75 | Over | +2.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Mississippi | 152.0 | 94-87 | Over | +29.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Auburn | 169.0 | 73-95 | Under | -1.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | South Carolina | 155.0 | 108-74 | Over | +27.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Georgia | 181.5 | 76-90 | Under | -15.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | 173.5 | 93-68 | Under | -12.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | LSU | 164.5 | 85-81 | Over | +1.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Oklahoma | 167.5 | 83-79 | Under | -5.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Kentucky | 161.5 | 77-85 | Over | +0.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Mississippi St | 164.0 | 88-68 | Under | -8.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | LSU | 159.0 | 91-62 | Under | -6.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Auburn | 165.0 | 88-75 | Under | -2.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Alabama | 184.0 | 115-117 | Over | +48.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Missouri | 159.5 | 94-86 | Over | +20.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Texas A&M | 170.5 | 99-84 | Over | +12.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Florida | 168.5 | 77-111 | Over | +19.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | 163.5 | 105-85 | Over | +26.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Missouri | 163.5 | 88-84 | Over | +8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Oklahoma | 167.5 | 82-79 | Under | -6.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Mississippi | 159.5 | 93-90 | Over | +23.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | 165.5 | 86-75 | Under | -4.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Hawai'i | 158.5 | 97-78 | Over | +16.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | High Point | 171.5 | 94-88 | Over | +10.5 |
| 03/26 | Neutral | Arizona | 166.5 | 88-109 | Over | +30.5 |
Florida Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Neutral | Arizona | 163.5 | 87-93 | Over | +16.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | N Florida | 169.0 | 104-64 | Under | -1.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Florida St | 180.5 | 78-76 | Under | -26.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Miami | 171.5 | 82-68 | Under | -21.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Merrimack | 158.5 | 80-45 | Under | -33.5 |
| 11/27 | Neutral | TCU | 155.5 | 80-84 | Over | +8.5 |
| 11/28 | Neutral | Providence | 168.5 | 90-78 | Under | -0.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Duke | 157.5 | 66-67 | Under | -24.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | UConn | 145.5 | 73-77 | Over | +4.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | G Washington | 163.0 | 80-70 | Under | -13.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | St Francis PA | 156.5 | 102-61 | Over | +6.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Colgate | 156.5 | 90-60 | Under | -6.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Dartmouth | 160.5 | 94-72 | Over | +5.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Missouri | 154.5 | 74-76 | Under | -4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Georgia | 173.0 | 92-77 | Under | -4.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | 151.5 | 91-67 | Over | +6.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Oklahoma | 157.5 | 96-79 | Over | +17.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Vanderbilt | 165.0 | 98-94 | Over | +27.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | LSU | 158.5 | 79-61 | Under | -18.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Auburn | 162.5 | 67-76 | Under | -19.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | South Carolina | 152.0 | 95-48 | Under | -9.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Alabama | 177.0 | 100-77 | Push | 0.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Texas A&M | 167.0 | 86-67 | Under | -14.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Georgia | 165.0 | 86-66 | Under | -13.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Kentucky | 155.0 | 92-83 | Over | +20.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | South Carolina | 154.5 | 76-62 | Under | -16.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Mississippi | 151.0 | 94-75 | Over | +18.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Texas | 158.5 | 84-71 | Under | -3.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Arkansas | 168.5 | 111-77 | Over | +19.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Mississippi St | 161.5 | 108-74 | Over | +20.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Kentucky | 162.5 | 84-77 | Under | -1.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Kentucky | 160.5 | 71-63 | Under | -26.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | 161.5 | 74-91 | Over | +3.5 |
| 03/20 | Neutral | Prairie View | 152.5 | 114-55 | Over | +16.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Iowa | 145.5 | 72-73 | Under | -0.5 |