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Arkansas vs. Houston: Point Spread Analysis
Saturday Dec 20, 2025 5:45 pm -
Newark, NJ
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Houston by 5.5,
Total Points:
146
Matchup Menu: ARK vs. HOU
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Houston -5.5 | Official TR Pick | Houston 54% odds to cover |
| Houston -5.5 | Similar Games | Houston 65% odds to cover |
| Houston -5.5 | Decision Tree | Houston 55% odds to cover |
| Arkansas +5.5 | Power Rating Model | Arkansas 78% odds to cover |
| Arkansas +5.5 | Predictive Ratings | Arkansas 56% odds to cover |
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ARK | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 23-14-0 | 18-19-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-8-0 | 10-11-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 12-5-0 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 11-9-0 | 9-12-0 |
Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Southern | -27.0 | W by 32 | +5.0 |
| 11/08 | Away | Michigan St | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | C Arkansas | -35.5 | W by 37 | +1.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Samford | -24.5 | W by 4 | -20.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Winthrop | -22.5 | W by 1 | -21.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Jackson St | -29.5 | W by 54 | +24.5 |
| 11/27 | Neutral | Duke | +12.5 | L by 9 | +3.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Louisville | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 12/06 | Neutral | Fresno St | -19.5 | W by 24 | +4.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Queens | -23.0 | W by 28 | +5.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Houston | +5.5 | L by 9 | -3.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | J Madison | -23.5 | W by 29 | +5.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Tennessee | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Mississippi | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Auburn | +2.0 | L by 22 | -20.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | South Carolina | -12.0 | W by 34 | +22.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Georgia | +2.5 | L by 14 | -11.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -1.5 | W by 25 | +23.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | LSU | -10.5 | W by 4 | -6.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Oklahoma | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Kentucky | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Mississippi St | -6.0 | W by 20 | +14.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | LSU | -4.5 | W by 29 | +24.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Auburn | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Alabama | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Missouri | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Texas A&M | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Florida | +9.5 | L by 34 | -24.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -6.5 | W by 20 | +13.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Missouri | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Mississippi | -8.5 | W by 3 | -5.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Hawai'i | -14.5 | W by 19 | +4.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | High Point | -12.5 | W by 6 | -6.5 |
| 03/26 | Neutral | Arizona | +8.5 | L by 21 | -12.5 |
Houston Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Lehigh | -36.5 | W by 18 | -18.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Towson | -25.5 | W by 17 | -8.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Oakland | -30.5 | W by 33 | +2.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Auburn | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Rider | -40.5 | W by 46 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Syracuse | -14.5 | W by 4 | -10.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Notre Dame | -11.5 | W by 10 | -1.5 |
| 12/06 | Neutral | Florida St | -13.0 | W by 15 | +2.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Jackson St | -40.0 | W by 42 | +2.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | New Orleans | -32.5 | W by 42 | +9.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arkansas | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Middle Tenn | -26.0 | W by 9 | -17.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Cincinnati | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Baylor | -2.5 | W by 22 | +19.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | West Virginia | -13.5 | W by 29 | +15.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Arizona St | -18.5 | W by 30 | +11.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Texas Tech | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | TCU | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Cincinnati | -14.5 | W by 22 | +7.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | UCF | -15.0 | W by 24 | +9.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | BYU | (Pick) | W by 11 | +11.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Utah | -16.5 | W by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Kansas St | -22.5 | W by 14 | -8.5 |
| 02/16 | Away | Iowa St | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Arizona | -6.5 | L by 7 | -13.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | Kansas | -2.5 | L by 13 | -15.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Colorado | -19.5 | W by 40 | +20.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Baylor | -13.5 | W by 13 | -0.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Oklahoma St | -13.5 | W by 7 | -6.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | BYU | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Kansas | -5.5 | W by 22 | +16.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Arizona | +1.5 | L by 5 | -3.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Idaho | -24.5 | W by 31 | +6.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -9.5 | W by 31 | +21.5 |
| 03/26 | Neutral | Illinois | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |