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Louisiana at Southern Miss: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Dec 18, 2025 8:30 pm - Hattiesburg, MS
Odds: Southern Miss by 11.5, Total Points: 132.5

Matchup Menu: ULL @ USM

More Games From Dec 18, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Southern Miss -11.5 Official TR Pick Southern Miss 50% odds to cover
Southern Miss -11.5 Power Rating Model Southern Miss 68% odds to cover
Southern Miss -11.5 Decision Tree Southern Miss 50% odds to cover
Louisiana +11.5 Similar Games Louisiana 52% odds to cover
Louisiana +11.5 Predictive Ratings Louisiana 50% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ULL adv USM
Season 14-18-1 16-16-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-11-0 12-10-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 4-1-0
Last 10 4-6-0 8-2-0
Home 8-7-0 5-6-0
Away 6-11-1 11-10-0

Louisiana Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Ball St +4.0 L by 11 -7.0
11/07 Home SE Louisiana -3.5 W by 6 +2.5
11/11 Home Tulane +5.5 L by 4 +1.5
11/14 Away McNeese +16.0 L by 26 -10.0
11/18 Away Stanford +21.5 L by 27 -5.5
11/21 Away Santa Clara +19.5 L by 37 -17.5
11/24 Away UC Davis +9.5 L by 21 -11.5
11/28 Home Jackson St -5.0 L by 6 -11.0
12/03 Away Lamar +10.0 L by 10 0.0
12/06 Home NC Wilmington +12.5 L by 7 +5.5
12/13 Away Louisiana Tech +9.5 L by 21 -11.5
12/18 Away Southern Miss +11.5 L by 8 +3.5
12/20 Away UL Monroe -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
12/28 Home Norfolk St -3.5 W by 9 +5.5
12/31 Home S Alabama +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
01/03 Home Southern Miss +3.5 L by 7 -3.5
01/08 Home UL Monroe -7.5 W by 6 -1.5
01/10 Home Troy +9.5 L by 20 -10.5
01/14 Away Texas St +8.5 L by 5 +3.5
01/17 Away S Alabama +9.5 W by 3 +12.5
01/22 Away App State +9.0 L by 14 -5.0
01/29 Home Georgia St +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
01/31 Home Georgia So +3.0 W by 9 +12.0
02/04 Away J Madison +9.5 W by 3 +12.5
02/07 Home C Michigan -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
02/12 Home Coastal Car +1.0 L by 4 -3.0
02/16 Away Old Dominion +5.5 L by 11 -5.5
02/19 Home Arkansas St +8.5 L by 17 -8.5
02/21 Home Texas St +3.0 W by 13 +16.0
02/24 Away Troy +11.5 L by 19 -7.5
02/27 Away Arkansas St +13.5 L by 23 -9.5
03/03 Neutral Georgia St +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
03/04 Neutral J Madison +6.5 L by 15 -8.5

Southern Miss Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Buffalo +3.5 L by 6 -2.5
11/06 Home Tougaloo -- W by 36 --
11/09 Away South Carolina +17.0 L by 4 +13.0
11/13 Away Grambling +2.0 L by 5 -3.0
11/18 Home William Carey -- W by 23 --
11/22 Neutral N Florida -9.5 W by 9 -0.5
11/23 Neutral UT Martin -- W by 10 --
12/03 Away Radford +3.5 W by 7 +10.5
12/06 Away Miami +19.0 L by 24 -5.0
12/08 Home Grambling -8.5 W by 8 -0.5
12/13 Neutral Mississippi +13.0 L by 4 +9.0
12/18 Home Louisiana -11.5 W by 8 -3.5
12/20 Home Arkansas St +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
12/29 Away LSU +21.5 L by 28 -6.5
01/01 Away UL Monroe -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
01/03 Away Louisiana -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
01/08 Home Texas St -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
01/10 Home UL Monroe -14.5 W by 10 -4.5
01/14 Away Troy +9.0 L by 26 -17.0
01/17 Away Texas St +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
01/22 Away Georgia St +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
01/24 Away Coastal Car +2.5 L by 18 -15.5
01/29 Home App State +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
01/31 Home J Madison +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
02/04 Away Marshall +10.5 L by 4 +6.5
02/07 Home Kent St +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
02/12 Home S Alabama -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
02/14 Home Troy +5.0 W by 4 +9.0
02/21 Home Old Dominion -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
02/24 Away Arkansas St +9.5 L by 5 +4.5
02/27 Away S Alabama +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
03/05 Neutral J Madison +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
03/06 Neutral Texas St +1.5 W by 4 +5.5
03/07 Neutral App State +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
03/08 Neutral Troy +5.5 L by 8 -2.5