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Murray St at Valparaiso: Point Spread Analysis

Sunday Dec 21, 2025 2:00 pm - Valparaiso, IN
Odds: Murray State by 5, Total Points: 155

Matchup Menu: MURR @ VALP

More Games From Dec 21, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Valparaiso +5.0 Official TR Pick Valparaiso 50% odds to cover
Valparaiso +5.0 Decision Tree Valparaiso 50% odds to cover
Murray St -5.0 Power Rating Model Murray St 60% odds to cover
Murray St -5.0 Similar Games Murray St 51% odds to cover
Murray St -5.0 Predictive Ratings Murray St 55% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MURR adv VALP
Season 14-19-0 18-13-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 7-14-0 13-9-0
Streak L8 L3
Last 5 0-5-0 2-3-0
Last 10 2-8-0 4-6-0
Home 8-7-0 10-5-1
Away 6-12-0 8-8-0

Murray St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Neutral Omaha -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
11/07 Home Miss Valley St -39.0 W by 48 +9.0
11/11 Away SMU +9.5 L by 11 -1.5
11/15 Home Nicholls -14.5 W by 20 +5.5
11/18 Home Little Rock -14.0 W by 21 +7.0
11/23 Neutral Middle Tenn -7.5 L by 3 -10.5
11/24 Neutral McNeese +2.5 L by 13 -10.5
11/25 Neutral G Washington +7.0 W by 1 +8.0
12/02 Home Morehead St -16.5 W by 32 +15.5
12/06 Home Bellarmine -16.0 W by 13 -3.0
12/13 Neutral Akron +4.5 W by 15 +19.5
12/18 Home Drake -7.5 W by 9 +1.5
12/21 Away Valparaiso -5.0 W by 6 +1.0
12/29 Home S Illinois -6.5 W by 3 -3.5
01/01 Away Illinois Chicago -5.5 W by 4 -1.5
01/04 Home Bradley -5.5 W by 20 +14.5
01/07 Away Evansville -9.0 W by 10 +1.0
01/10 Home Valparaiso -12.5 W by 13 +0.5
01/17 Home Indiana St -11.0 W by 4 -7.0
01/21 Away Drake -4.5 L by 11 -15.5
01/24 Away N Iowa -2.0 L by 5 -7.0
01/28 Home Illinois St -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
01/31 Away Belmont +3.5 L by 17 -13.5
02/03 Home Illinois Chicago -6.0 W by 7 +1.0
02/06 Away S Illinois -1.0 W by 10 +9.0
02/09 Home N Iowa -4.0 L by 29 -33.0
02/12 Away Indiana St -3.5 W by 2 -1.5
02/15 Home Belmont +1.0 L by 17 -16.0
02/18 Away Illinois St +2.0 L by 17 -15.0
02/21 Home Evansville -14.5 W by 13 -1.5
03/01 Away Bradley +3.5 L by 9 -5.5
03/06 Neutral Illinois Chicago +1.5 L by 13 -11.5
03/18 Away Nevada +8.5 L by 14 -5.5

Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home E Illinois -6.0 W by 3 -3.0
11/07 Away Kentucky +32.0 L by 48 -16.0
11/12 Home Nicholls -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
11/16 Home Bryant -6.5 W by 18 +11.5
11/19 Away Cleveland St +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
11/26 Home S Indiana -9.5 L by 8 -17.5
11/29 Home W Michigan -5.0 W by 29 +24.0
12/02 Away Marquette +17.5 L by 3 +14.5
12/06 Home Calumet -- W by 40 --
12/13 Home NC Wilmington +3.0 L by 3 0.0
12/16 Away Northwestern +14.5 L by 16 -1.5
12/21 Home Murray St +5.0 L by 6 -1.0
12/29 Away N Iowa +8.5 L by 10 -1.5
01/01 Away S Illinois +7.5 L by 5 +2.5
01/04 Home Illinois Chicago -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
01/07 Home Illinois St +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
01/10 Away Murray St +12.5 L by 13 -0.5
01/13 Away Belmont +11.5 L by 4 +7.5
01/17 Home N Iowa +2.0 W by 10 +12.0
01/21 Home S Illinois -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
01/28 Home Belmont +5.5 L by 1 +4.5
01/31 Away Indiana St +2.0 W by 4 +6.0
02/03 Away Bradley +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
02/06 Home Evansville -9.0 W by 7 -2.0
02/09 Away Drake +4.0 W by 5 +9.0
02/12 Away Illinois St +9.0 L by 22 -13.0
02/15 Home Indiana St -4.5 W by 1 -3.5
02/18 Home Bradley +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
02/21 Away Illinois Chicago +7.5 W by 4 +11.5
02/25 Home Drake -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
02/28 Away Evansville -5.5 L by 1 -6.5
03/05 Neutral Indiana St -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
03/06 Neutral Bradley +5.5 L by 6 -0.5