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Niagara at Saint Peter's: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Dec 7, 2025 2:00 pm - Jersey City, NJ
Odds: Saint Peter's by 5.5, Total Points: 131.5

Matchup Menu: NIAG @ SPU

More Games From Dec 7, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIAG SPU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NIAG SPU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 47.7 54.9
Field Goal % 42.2% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.2 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 32.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 20.3
Free Throw % 71.0% 72.8%
Ball Control NIAG SPU
Rebounds 28.9 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 12.9
Turnovers 13.0 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.7
Steals 4.6 8.1
Fouls 14.5 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIAG SPU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NIAG SPU
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 27.9%
Player Fouled 25.9% 22.5%
Turnover 20.1% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 12.6% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIAG SPU
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 37.3%