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Evansville at Murray St: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 4:00 pm - Murray, KY
Odds: Murray State by 14.5, Total Points: 153.5

Matchup Menu: EVAN @ MURR

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 153.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 153.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under
Over 153.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	EVAN	MURR
Season	16-13-1	19-14-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-10-0	10-11-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 4
Last 5	4-1-0	4-1-0
Last 10	7-3-0	6-4-0
Home	8-5-0	6-9-0
Away	8-8-1	13-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Evansville Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Away	Purdue	149.0	51-82	Under	-16.0
11/07	Home	Calumet	--	92-50	Under	--
11/09	Home	Oakland City	--	76-47	Under	--
11/12	Home	Middle Tenn	139.5	72-77	Over	+9.5
11/18	Home	UT Arlington	138.0	76-84	Over	+22.0
11/21	Neutral	Oregon St	137.0	73-69	Over	+5.0
11/23	Neutral	Akron	156.0	59-97	Push	0.0
11/24	Neutral	Charleston	142.5	59-78	Under	-5.5
12/03	Home	Ball St	137.0	64-52	Under	-21.0
12/06	Away	W Kentucky	148.0	79-80	Over	+11.0
12/13	Away	Notre Dame	136.5	58-82	Over	+3.5
12/16	Home	Belmont	148.0	78-83	Over	+13.0
12/21	Home	Drake	141.5	65-66	Under	-10.5
12/29	Away	Bradley	143.5	68-76	Over	+0.5
01/01	Away	Illinois St	144.0	47-73	Under	-24.0
01/04	Home	N Iowa	131.0	48-62	Under	-21.0
01/07	Home	Murray St	152.5	69-79	Under	-4.5
01/10	Away	Indiana St	146.5	72-69	Under	-5.5
01/13	Home	Bradley	142.5	90-94	Over	+41.5
01/20	Away	Illinois Chicago	139.5	49-76	Under	-14.5
01/28	Away	Drake	142.0	78-82	Over	+18.0
01/31	Away	N Iowa	128.5	55-71	Under	-2.5
02/03	Home	Indiana St	145.5	63-84	Over	+1.5
02/06	Away	Valparaiso	136.0	63-70	Under	-3.0
02/09	Home	Illinois St	138.0	88-80	Over	+30.0
02/12	Away	S Illinois	142.5	60-86	Over	+3.5
02/18	Home	Illinois Chicago	140.0	46-84	Under	-10.0
02/21	Away	Murray St	153.5	75-88	Over	+9.5
02/25	Away	Belmont	152.5	64-98	Over	+9.5
02/28	Home	Valparaiso	138.5	80-79	Over	+20.5
03/01	Home	S Illinois	140.5	67-81	Over	+7.5
03/05	Neutral	N Iowa	127.5	59-68	Under	-0.5

Murray St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Neutral	Omaha	154.5	85-77	Over	+7.5
11/07	Home	Miss Valley St	160.0	108-60	Over	+8.0
11/11	Away	SMU	164.5	91-102	Over	+28.5
11/15	Home	Nicholls	158.0	99-79	Over	+20.0
11/18	Home	Little Rock	153.5	89-68	Over	+3.5
11/23	Neutral	Middle Tenn	163.5	87-90	Over	+13.5
11/24	Neutral	McNeese	158.5	60-73	Under	-25.5
11/25	Neutral	G Washington	167.5	96-95	Over	+23.5
12/02	Home	Morehead St	158.5	84-52	Under	-22.5
12/06	Home	Bellarmine	157.0	81-68	Under	-8.0
12/13	Neutral	Akron	168.5	115-100	Over	+46.5
12/18	Home	Drake	156.5	81-72	Under	-3.5
12/21	Away	Valparaiso	155.0	85-79	Over	+9.0
12/29	Home	S Illinois	165.5	84-81	Under	-0.5
01/01	Away	Illinois Chicago	160.0	81-77	Under	-2.0
01/04	Home	Bradley	162.5	86-66	Under	-10.5
01/07	Away	Evansville	152.5	79-69	Under	-4.5
01/10	Home	Valparaiso	152.5	92-79	Over	+18.5
01/17	Home	Indiana St	167.0	85-81	Under	-1.0
01/21	Away	Drake	158.5	90-101	Over	+32.5
01/24	Away	N Iowa	144.5	76-81	Over	+12.5
01/28	Home	Illinois St	158.5	65-70	Under	-23.5
01/31	Away	Belmont	163.5	86-103	Over	+25.5
02/03	Home	Illinois Chicago	158.0	81-74	Under	-3.0
02/06	Away	S Illinois	157.5	91-81	Over	+14.5
02/09	Home	N Iowa	144.0	60-89	Over	+5.0
02/12	Away	Indiana St	163.5	74-72	Under	-17.5
02/15	Home	Belmont	166.5	70-87	Under	-9.5
02/18	Away	Illinois St	158.0	61-78	Under	-19.0
02/21	Home	Evansville	153.5	88-75	Over	+9.5
03/01	Away	Bradley	157.5	78-87	Over	+7.5
03/06	Neutral	Illinois Chicago	150.5	79-92	Over	+20.5
03/18	Away	Nevada	159.5	75-89	Over	+4.5