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New Orleans at Incarnate Word: Over/Under Analysis

Monday Feb 16, 2026 7:30 pm - San Antonio, TX
Odds: Incarnate Word by 2.5, Total Points: 154

Matchup Menu: NORL @ IW

More Games From Feb 16, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 154.0	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 154.0	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under
Over 154.0	Similar Games	50% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	NORL	IW
Season	19-14-0	14-14-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	14-10-0	10-12-0
Streak	Un 2	Ov 1
Last 5	1-4-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	4-6-0
Home	9-2-0	7-5-0
Away	10-12-0	7-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

New Orleans Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	TCU	150.5	78-74	Over	+1.5
11/10	Away	LSU	162.5	58-93	Under	-11.5
11/14	Away	Tulane	154.5	85-63	Under	-6.5
11/18	Away	Pepperdine	158.0	79-90	Over	+11.0
11/21	Away	Fresno St	154.5	76-85	Over	+6.5
11/24	Away	Mississippi St	161.0	78-81	Under	-2.0
11/26	Away	Texas Tech	157.0	50-82	Under	-25.0
12/03	Away	Memphis	149.5	70-86	Over	+6.5
12/06	Home	Hou Christian	140.5	76-85	Over	+20.5
12/08	Home	Incarnate Word	148.5	84-83	Over	+18.5
12/13	Away	Houston	137.5	57-99	Over	+18.5
12/29	Away	UT Rio Grande	152.5	85-69	Over	+1.5
12/31	Away	Texas A&M-CC	142.5	69-83	Over	+9.5
01/03	Away	NW State	149.5	68-74	Under	-7.5
01/05	Home	E Texas A&M	150.5	83-73	Over	+5.5
01/10	Home	Nicholls	151.5	77-90	Over	+15.5
01/12	Away	SE Louisiana	142.5	79-76	Over	+12.5
01/17	Home	SF Austin	147.5	79-84	Over	+15.5
01/19	Home	Lamar	144.0	89-76	Over	+21.0
01/24	Away	McNeese	155.5	63-82	Under	-10.5
01/27	Away	Nicholls	157.5	80-62	Under	-15.5
01/31	Home	NW State	153.5	75-64	Under	-14.5
02/02	Away	E Texas A&M	151.5	94-85	Over	+27.5
02/07	Home	UT Rio Grande	151.0	76-95	Over	+20.0
02/09	Home	Texas A&M-CC	146.0	84-78	Over	+16.0
02/14	Away	Hou Christian	149.0	60-61	Under	-28.0
02/16	Away	Incarnate Word	154.0	78-64	Under	-12.0
02/21	Away	Lamar	146.5	77-71	Over	+1.5
02/23	Away	SF Austin	153.5	77-73	Under	-3.5
02/28	Home	McNeese	150.5	63-66	Under	-21.5
03/02	Home	SE Louisiana	143.5	78-82	Over	+16.5
03/08	Neutral	Hou Christian	143.5	73-60	Under	-10.5
03/09	Neutral	Texas A&M-CC	147.5	61-74	Under	-12.5

Incarnate Word Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Colorado St	148.5	64-98	Over	+13.5
11/07	Home	Jarvis Christian	--	104-60	Under	--
11/11	Home	Southwestern Christian	--	109-70	Under	--
11/16	Away	Indiana	157.5	61-69	Under	-27.5
11/20	Neutral	S Indiana	146.0	87-81	Over	+22.0
11/22	Neutral	High Point	159.0	80-91	Over	+12.0
11/26	Home	Texas Lutheran	--	117-55	Under	--
12/01	Home	McNeese	145.5	71-67	Under	-7.5
12/06	Away	Nicholls	145.5	67-74	Under	-4.5
12/08	Away	New Orleans	148.5	83-84	Over	+18.5
12/15	Away	TCU	144.0	65-69	Under	-10.0
12/21	Home	N Arizona	140.5	90-66	Over	+15.5
12/30	Home	SE Louisiana	136.0	79-70	Over	+13.0
01/03	Home	Hou Christian	141.5	73-56	Under	-12.5
01/05	Away	UT Rio Grande	146.0	67-80	Over	+1.0
01/10	Away	Lamar	140.5	51-63	Under	-26.5
01/12	Away	SF Austin	140.5	46-56	Under	-38.5
01/17	Home	NW State	142.0	76-74	Over	+8.0
01/19	Home	E Texas A&M	142.5	58-80	Under	-4.5
01/24	Home	Texas A&M-CC	136.5	71-79	Over	+13.5
01/27	Away	Hou Christian	140.5	75-81	Over	+15.5
01/31	Home	UT Rio Grande	141.5	93-106	Over	+57.5
02/02	Away	Texas A&M-CC	140.5	71-69	Under	-0.5
02/07	Away	McNeese	146.0	64-81	Under	-1.0
02/09	Away	SE Louisiana	138.0	62-74	Under	-2.0
02/14	Home	Nicholls	148.5	83-91	Over	+25.5
02/16	Home	New Orleans	154.0	64-78	Under	-12.0
02/21	Away	E Texas A&M	145.5	82-73	Over	+9.5
02/23	Away	NW State	138.5	49-54	Under	-35.5
02/28	Home	Lamar	138.5	72-60	Under	-6.5
03/02	Home	SF Austin	141.5	68-76	Over	+2.5