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Portland at Saint Mary's: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Jan 2, 2026 10:00 pm - Moraga, CA
Odds: Saint Mary's by 19.5, Total Points: 146.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Portland +21.5 Official TR Pick Portland 53% odds to cover
Portland +21.5 Power Rating Model Portland 70% odds to cover
Portland +21.5 Similar Games Portland 56% odds to cover
Portland +21.5 Decision Tree Portland 53% odds to cover
Saint Mary's -21.5 Predictive Ratings Saint Mary's 56% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record PORT adv SMC
Season 15-17-0 19-13-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-10-0 13-6-0
Streak L1 L2
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 5-5-0 7-3-0
Home 11-5-0 12-4-0
Away 4-12-0 7-9-0

Portland Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Willamette -- W by 37 --
11/06 Home AR-Pine Bluff -12.0 W by 9 -3.0
11/09 Home UC Davis -2.0 W by 4 +2.0
11/15 Away Wyoming +11.5 L by 37 -25.5
11/21 Home CS Fullerton -6.5 W by 18 +11.5
11/22 Home N Colorado +4.0 L by 6 -2.0
11/23 Home St Thomas +4.0 L by 10 -6.0
11/26 Home Long Beach St -5.5 W by 20 +14.5
12/01 Away Stanford +19.0 L by 22 -3.0
12/05 Home Lewis & Clark -- W by 17 --
12/14 Home Kent St +7.5 W by 10 +17.5
12/17 Away Oregon +19.0 L by 25 -6.0
12/22 Away UCSB +9.5 L by 18 -8.5
12/28 Home Washington St +4.0 L by 5 -1.0
12/30 Home Santa Clara +13.5 L by 7 +6.5
01/02 Away Saint Mary's +19.5 L by 21 -1.5
01/04 Away San Francisco +11.5 L by 5 +6.5
01/08 Home Pacific +3.5 W by 1 +4.5
01/10 Home Oregon St -2.0 W by 6 +4.0
01/14 Away Pepperdine -1.5 L by 4 -5.5
01/17 Away Loyola Mymt +8.0 W by 13 +21.0
01/24 Home Saint Mary's +15.0 L by 6 +9.0
01/28 Away Pacific +8.0 L by 23 -15.0
01/31 Away Washington St +8.5 L by 30 -21.5
02/04 Home Gonzaga +22.0 W by 7 +29.0
02/07 Home Seattle +3.5 W by 1 +4.5
02/11 Away San Diego +3.0 L by 13 -10.0
02/18 Home Pepperdine -7.0 L by 8 -15.0
02/21 Away Seattle +7.5 L by 12 -4.5
02/25 Away Gonzaga +27.5 L by 41 -13.5
02/28 Home San Diego -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
03/05 Neutral Pepperdine -3.5 W by 9 +5.5
03/06 Neutral Washington St +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
03/07 Neutral San Francisco +6.5 L by 17 -10.5

Saint Mary's Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home St Thomas -13.0 W by 26 +13.0
11/07 Home Chattanooga -15.5 W by 21 +5.5
11/11 Home Ohio -17.5 W by 30 +12.5
11/14 Home N Texas -14.5 W by 31 +16.5
11/19 Home Arkansas St -20.5 W by 13 -7.5
11/22 Home UC Merced -- W by 54 --
11/26 Neutral Wichita St -9.5 W by 5 -4.5
11/27 Neutral Virginia Tech -5.5 W by 11 +5.5
11/28 Neutral Vanderbilt +4.0 L by 25 -21.0
12/07 Away Davidson -8.5 W by 9 +0.5
12/14 Neutral Boise St -2.5 L by 1 -3.5
12/19 Home Florida Atlantic -13.5 W by 13 -0.5
12/22 Home N Iowa -11.5 W by 5 -6.5
12/28 Away Loyola Mymt -9.5 W by 5 -4.5
12/30 Away Pepperdine -20.0 W by 27 +7.0
01/02 Home Portland -19.5 W by 21 +1.5
01/04 Home Seattle -11.5 W by 17 +5.5
01/10 Home Washington St -15.5 W by 6 -9.5
01/13 Away San Francisco -5.5 W by 14 +8.5
01/17 Away Santa Clara +1.5 L by 8 -6.5
01/21 Home Oregon St -19.5 W by 30 +10.5
01/24 Away Portland -15.0 W by 6 -9.0
01/31 Away Gonzaga +8.5 L by 8 +0.5
02/04 Home San Diego -19.5 W by 27 +7.5
02/07 Home San Francisco -12.0 W by 25 +13.0
02/11 Home Pepperdine -23.5 W by 28 +4.5
02/14 Away Pacific -7.5 W by 11 +3.5
02/18 Away Seattle -9.5 W by 2 -7.5
02/21 Away Washington St -8.5 W by 16 +7.5
02/25 Home Santa Clara -5.5 W by 19 +13.5
02/28 Home Gonzaga +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
03/09 Neutral Santa Clara -4.5 L by 5 -9.5
03/19 Neutral Texas A&M -3.5 L by 13 -16.5