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Pittsburgh at Virginia: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Feb 3, 2026 9:00 pm - Charlottesville, VA
Odds: Virginia by 12.5, Total Points: 142.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Pittsburgh +12.5 Official TR Pick Pittsburgh 54% odds to cover
Pittsburgh +12.5 Decision Tree Pittsburgh 55% odds to cover
Virginia -12.5 Power Rating Model Virginia 50% odds to cover
Virginia -12.5 Similar Games Virginia 51% odds to cover
Virginia -12.5 Predictive Ratings Virginia 56% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record PITT adv UVA
Season 17-16-0 17-17-2
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-9-0 11-10-0
Streak L1 L2
Last 5 4-1-0 3-2-0
Last 10 7-3-0 4-6-0
Home 9-9-0 8-8-1
Away 8-7-0 9-9-1

Pittsburgh Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Youngstown St -14.0 W by 15 +1.0
11/07 Home Longwood -15.0 W by 18 +3.0
11/10 Home E Michigan -16.0 W by 12 -4.0
11/13 Away West Virginia +6.0 L by 22 -16.0
11/17 Home Bucknell -15.5 W by 34 +18.5
11/20 Neutral UCF -1.5 L by 10 -11.5
11/23 Home Quinnipiac -13.0 L by 8 -21.0
11/28 Home Ohio St +5.5 W by 1 +6.5
12/02 Home Texas A&M +3.5 L by 8 -4.5
12/07 Home Hofstra -8.5 L by 7 -15.5
12/13 Away Villanova +10.0 L by 18 -8.0
12/17 Home Binghamton -24.5 W by 40 +15.5
12/21 Neutral Penn St (Pick) W by 34 +34.0
12/30 Away Miami +9.5 L by 7 +2.5
01/03 Home Clemson +4.0 L by 5 -1.0
01/10 Home Syracuse -1.5 L by 11 -12.5
01/14 Away Georgia Tech -1.5 W by 23 +21.5
01/17 Home Louisville +7.0 L by 41 -34.0
01/21 Away Boston College -2.5 L by 3 -5.5
01/24 Home NC State +5.5 L by 9 -3.5
01/27 Home Wake Forest -1.0 W by 4 +3.0
01/31 Away Clemson +12.5 L by 11 +1.5
02/03 Away Virginia +12.5 L by 20 -7.5
02/07 Home SMU +4.0 L by 19 -15.0
02/10 Home Duke +18.0 L by 16 +2.0
02/14 Away North Carolina +11.5 L by 14 -2.5
02/21 Home Notre Dame -2.0 W by 5 +3.0
02/25 Away Stanford +8.5 L by 8 +0.5
02/28 Away California +6.5 W by 16 +22.5
03/04 Home Florida St +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
03/07 Away Syracuse +5.5 W by 2 +7.5
03/10 Neutral Stanford +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
03/11 Neutral NC State +8.5 L by 10 -1.5

Virginia Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Rider -26.5 W by 34 +7.5
11/07 Home NC Central -34.0 W by 19 -15.0
11/11 Home Hampton -24.0 W by 38 +14.0
11/15 Home Marshall -20.5 W by 26 +5.5
11/21 Neutral Northwestern -5.0 W by 5 0.0
11/23 Neutral Butler -7.0 L by 7 -14.0
11/28 Home Queens -25.0 W by 25 0.0
12/03 Away Texas +3.0 W by 19 +22.0
12/06 Neutral Dayton -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
12/09 Home Maryland ES -36.5 W by 24 -12.5
12/20 Home Maryland -16.5 W by 8 -8.5
12/22 Home American -27.5 W by 44 +16.5
12/31 Away Virginia Tech -6.0 L by 10 -16.0
01/03 Away NC State +4.0 W by 15 +19.0
01/07 Home California -14.0 W by 24 +10.0
01/10 Home Stanford -12.5 W by 15 +2.5
01/13 Away Louisville +4.5 W by 9 +13.5
01/17 Away SMU -2.0 W by 4 +2.0
01/24 Home North Carolina -6.5 L by 5 -11.5
01/27 Away Notre Dame -9.5 W by 3 -6.5
01/31 Away Boston College -12.5 W by 7 -5.5
02/03 Home Pittsburgh -12.5 W by 20 +7.5
02/07 Home Syracuse -14.0 W by 13 -1.0
02/10 Away Florida St -8.0 W by 3 -5.0
02/14 Neutral Ohio St -5.0 W by 4 -1.0
02/18 Away Georgia Tech -13.0 W by 26 +13.0
02/21 Home Miami -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
02/24 Home NC State -6.5 W by 29 +22.5
02/28 Away Duke +9.5 L by 26 -16.5
03/03 Home Wake Forest -14.5 W by 5 -9.5
03/07 Home Virginia Tech -11.5 W by 4 -7.5
03/12 Neutral NC State -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/13 Neutral Miami -3.5 W by 22 +18.5
03/14 Neutral Duke +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
03/20 Neutral Wright St -17.5 W by 9 -8.5
03/22 Neutral Tennessee +1.5 L by 7 -5.5