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SMU at California: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Feb 25, 2026 10:00 pm - Berkeley, CA
Odds: SMU by 3.5, Total Points: 163.5

Matchup Menu: SMU @ CAL

More Games From Feb 25, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
SMU -4.5 Official TR Pick SMU 51% odds to cover
SMU -4.5 Decision Tree SMU 51% odds to cover
California +4.5 Power Rating Model California 64% odds to cover
California +4.5 Similar Games California 54% odds to cover
California +4.5 Predictive Ratings California 52% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record SMU adv CAL
Season 14-19-1 17-16-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-11-1 9-10-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 5-5-0
Home 7-11-0 9-12-0
Away 7-8-1 8-4-0

SMU Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Tarleton St -21.5 W by 20 -1.5
11/06 Home Texas A&M-CC -23.5 W by 11 -12.5
11/11 Home Murray St -9.5 W by 11 +1.5
11/15 Home Butler -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
11/18 Home AR-Pine Bluff -34.5 W by 46 +11.5
11/21 Home Arkansas St -14.5 W by 31 +16.5
11/24 Home Radford -25.0 W by 17 -8.0
11/28 Away Mississippi St +1.0 W by 6 +7.0
12/03 Away Vanderbilt +10.5 L by 19 -8.5
12/07 Neutral Texas A&M +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
12/13 Neutral LSU +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
12/21 Home C Arkansas -24.5 W by 17 -7.5
12/28 Home CS Fullerton -22.0 W by 47 +25.0
01/03 Home North Carolina -1.0 W by 14 +13.0
01/07 Away Clemson +4.0 L by 4 0.0
01/10 Away Duke +16.0 L by 7 +9.0
01/14 Home Virginia Tech -9.0 W by 1 -8.0
01/17 Home Virginia +2.0 L by 4 -2.0
01/20 Away Wake Forest +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
01/24 Home Florida St -12.0 W by 3 -9.0
01/31 Away Louisville +9.5 L by 14 -4.5
02/03 Home NC State (Pick) L by 1 -1.0
02/07 Away Pittsburgh -4.0 W by 19 +15.0
02/10 Home Notre Dame -10.5 W by 8 -2.5
02/14 Away Syracuse -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
02/17 Home Louisville +4.0 W by 10 +14.0
02/21 Home Boston College -15.5 W by 24 +8.5
02/25 Away California -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
02/28 Away Stanford -1.5 L by 20 -21.5
03/04 Home Miami -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
03/07 Away Florida St +1.5 L by 13 -11.5
03/10 Neutral Syracuse -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
03/11 Neutral Louisville +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
03/18 Neutral Miami OH -7.5 L by 10 -17.5

California Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home CS Bakersfield -16.0 W by 27 +11.0
11/06 Home Wright St -15.5 W by 10 -5.5
11/10 Home CS Fullerton -22.5 W by 28 +5.5
11/13 Away Kansas St +6.5 L by 3 +3.5
11/18 Home Presbyterian -19.5 W by 10 -9.5
11/21 Home Sacramento St -21.5 W by 24 +2.5
11/25 Neutral UCLA +7.5 W by 8 +15.5
12/02 Home Utah -8.0 W by 7 -1.0
12/06 Home Pacific -8.0 W by 6 -2.0
12/09 Home Dominican (CA) -- W by 22 --
12/13 Home NW State -19.0 W by 9 -10.0
12/19 Home Morgan St -26.5 W by 47 +20.5
12/21 Home Columbia -8.5 W by 18 +9.5
12/30 Home Louisville +7.5 L by 20 -12.5
01/02 Home Notre Dame -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
01/07 Away Virginia +14.0 L by 24 -10.0
01/10 Away Virginia Tech +5.0 L by 3 +2.0
01/14 Home Duke +14.0 L by 15 -1.0
01/17 Home North Carolina +7.5 W by 6 +13.5
01/24 Away Stanford +4.5 W by 12 +16.5
01/28 Away Florida St +3.5 L by 2 +1.5
01/31 Away Miami +11.5 W by 1 +12.5
02/04 Home Georgia Tech -7.5 W by 5 -2.5
02/07 Home Clemson +4.5 L by 22 -17.5
02/11 Away Syracuse +6.0 L by 7 -1.0
02/14 Away Boston College -3.5 W by 11 +7.5
02/21 Home Stanford -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
02/25 Home SMU +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
02/28 Home Pittsburgh -6.5 L by 16 -22.5
03/04 Away Georgia Tech -1.5 W by 11 +9.5
03/07 Away Wake Forest +6.5 L by 7 -0.5
03/11 Neutral Florida St +2.5 L by 6 -3.5
03/18 Home Illinois Chicago -6.5 W by 18 +11.5
03/22 Home Saint Joseph's -5.5 L by 1 -6.5