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SMU vs. Louisville: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Mar 11, 2026 2:30 pm - Charlotte, NC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Louisville by 6.5, Total Points: 164.5

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 164.5 Official TR Pick 55% odds to go under
Under 164.5 Decision Tree 55% odds to go under
Over 164.5 Similar Games 56% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record SMU LOU
Season 21-12-1 15-20-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 12-7-1 8-12-0
Streak Ov 1 Un 1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-3-1 4-6-0
Home 10-8-0 6-11-0
Away 11-4-1 9-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

SMU Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
11/03 Home Tarleton St 145.0 96-76 Over +27.0
11/06 Home Texas A&M-CC 160.5 69-58 Under -33.5
11/11 Home Murray St 164.5 102-91 Over +28.5
11/15 Home Butler 164.0 87-85 Over +8.0
11/18 Home AR-Pine Bluff 168.5 106-60 Under -2.5
11/21 Home Arkansas St 172.5 100-69 Under -3.5
11/24 Home Radford 165.5 89-72 Under -4.5
11/28 Away Mississippi St 162.5 87-81 Over +5.5
12/03 Away Vanderbilt 165.5 69-88 Under -8.5
12/07 Neutral Texas A&M 164.0 93-80 Over +9.0
12/13 Neutral LSU 158.5 77-89 Over +7.5
12/21 Home C Arkansas 157.0 99-82 Over +24.0
12/28 Home CS Fullerton 170.5 110-63 Over +2.5
01/03 Home North Carolina 155.5 97-83 Over +24.5
01/07 Away Clemson 149.5 70-74 Under -5.5
01/10 Away Duke 156.0 75-82 Over +1.0
01/14 Home Virginia Tech 156.5 77-76 Under -3.5
01/17 Home Virginia 153.0 68-72 Under -13.0
01/20 Away Wake Forest 157.5 91-79 Over +12.5
01/24 Home Florida St 164.5 83-80 Under -1.5
01/31 Away Louisville 161.5 74-88 Over +0.5
02/03 Home NC State 159.5 83-84 Over +7.5
02/07 Away Pittsburgh 147.5 86-67 Over +5.5
02/10 Home Notre Dame 154.0 89-81 Over +16.0
02/14 Away Syracuse 157.0 78-79 Push 0.0
02/17 Home Louisville 168.0 95-85 Over +12.0
02/21 Home Boston College 150.5 94-70 Over +13.5
02/25 Away California 163.5 69-73 Under -21.5
02/28 Away Stanford 155.5 75-95 Over +14.5
03/04 Home Miami 156.5 69-77 Under -10.5
03/07 Away Florida St 158.5 78-91 Over +10.5
03/10 Neutral Syracuse 154.5 86-69 Over +0.5
03/11 Neutral Louisville 164.5 58-62 Under -44.5
03/18 Neutral Miami OH 161.5 79-89 Over +6.5

Louisville Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
11/03 Home S Carolina St 159.0 104-45 Under -10.0
11/06 Home Jackson St 165.5 106-70 Over +10.5
11/11 Home Kentucky 173.0 96-88 Over +11.0
11/15 Home Ohio 175.0 106-81 Over +12.0
11/21 Neutral Cincinnati 164.0 74-64 Under -26.0
11/24 Home E Michigan 162.5 87-46 Under -29.5
11/26 Home NJIT 158.5 104-47 Under -7.5
12/03 Away Arkansas 166.5 80-89 Over +2.5
12/06 Neutral Indiana 162.5 87-78 Over +2.5
12/13 Home Memphis 162.5 99-73 Over +9.5
12/16 Away Tennessee 156.5 62-83 Under -11.5
12/20 Home Montana 165.0 94-54 Under -17.0
12/30 Away California 159.0 90-70 Over +1.0
01/02 Away Stanford 157.5 76-80 Under -1.5
01/06 Home Duke 160.5 73-84 Under -3.5
01/10 Home Boston College 151.0 75-62 Under -14.0
01/13 Home Virginia 155.0 70-79 Under -6.0
01/17 Away Pittsburgh 152.5 100-59 Over +6.5
01/24 Home Virginia Tech 160.5 85-71 Under -4.5
01/26 Away Duke 157.0 52-83 Under -22.0
01/31 Home SMU 161.5 88-74 Over +0.5
02/04 Home Notre Dame 156.5 76-65 Under -15.5
02/07 Away Wake Forest 160.5 88-80 Over +7.5
02/09 Home NC State 161.5 118-77 Over +33.5
02/14 Neutral Baylor 162.5 82-71 Under -9.5
02/17 Away SMU 168.0 85-95 Over +12.0
02/21 Home Georgia Tech 167.5 87-70 Under -10.5
02/23 Away North Carolina 162.5 74-77 Under -11.5
02/28 Away Clemson 146.5 75-80 Over +8.5
03/03 Home Syracuse 159.5 77-62 Under -20.5
03/07 Away Miami 155.5 92-89 Over +25.5
03/11 Neutral SMU 164.5 62-58 Under -44.5
03/12 Neutral Miami 152.5 73-78 Under -1.5
03/19 Neutral S Florida 160.5 83-79 Over +1.5
03/21 Neutral Michigan St 151.5 69-77 Under -5.5