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SMU at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Jan 31, 2026 2:00 pm - Louisville, KY
Odds: Louisville by 9.5, Total Points: 161.5

Matchup Menu: SMU @ LOU

More Games From Jan 31, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Louisville -9.5 Official TR Pick Louisville 52% odds to cover
Louisville -9.5 Decision Tree Louisville 52% odds to cover
SMU +9.5 Power Rating Model SMU 78% odds to cover
SMU +9.5 Similar Games SMU 55% odds to cover
SMU +9.5 Predictive Ratings SMU 55% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record SMU adv LOU
Season 14-19-1 17-18-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-11-1 7-13-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 3-7-0
Home 7-11-0 10-7-0
Away 7-8-1 7-11-0

SMU Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Tarleton St -21.5 W by 20 -1.5
11/06 Home Texas A&M-CC -23.5 W by 11 -12.5
11/11 Home Murray St -9.5 W by 11 +1.5
11/15 Home Butler -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
11/18 Home AR-Pine Bluff -34.5 W by 46 +11.5
11/21 Home Arkansas St -14.5 W by 31 +16.5
11/24 Home Radford -25.0 W by 17 -8.0
11/28 Away Mississippi St +1.0 W by 6 +7.0
12/03 Away Vanderbilt +10.5 L by 19 -8.5
12/07 Neutral Texas A&M +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
12/13 Neutral LSU +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
12/21 Home C Arkansas -24.5 W by 17 -7.5
12/28 Home CS Fullerton -22.0 W by 47 +25.0
01/03 Home North Carolina -1.0 W by 14 +13.0
01/07 Away Clemson +4.0 L by 4 0.0
01/10 Away Duke +16.0 L by 7 +9.0
01/14 Home Virginia Tech -9.0 W by 1 -8.0
01/17 Home Virginia +2.0 L by 4 -2.0
01/20 Away Wake Forest +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
01/24 Home Florida St -12.0 W by 3 -9.0
01/31 Away Louisville +9.5 L by 14 -4.5
02/03 Home NC State (Pick) L by 1 -1.0
02/07 Away Pittsburgh -4.0 W by 19 +15.0
02/10 Home Notre Dame -10.5 W by 8 -2.5
02/14 Away Syracuse -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
02/17 Home Louisville +4.0 W by 10 +14.0
02/21 Home Boston College -15.5 W by 24 +8.5
02/25 Away California -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
02/28 Away Stanford -1.5 L by 20 -21.5
03/04 Home Miami -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
03/07 Away Florida St +1.5 L by 13 -11.5
03/10 Neutral Syracuse -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
03/11 Neutral Louisville +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
03/18 Neutral Miami OH -7.5 L by 10 -17.5

Louisville Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home S Carolina St -36.5 W by 59 +22.5
11/06 Home Jackson St -38.5 W by 36 -2.5
11/11 Home Kentucky -6.0 W by 8 +2.0
11/15 Home Ohio -31.0 W by 25 -6.0
11/21 Neutral Cincinnati -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
11/24 Home E Michigan -33.5 W by 41 +7.5
11/26 Home NJIT -43.5 W by 57 +13.5
12/03 Away Arkansas -2.0 L by 9 -11.0
12/06 Neutral Indiana -4.0 W by 9 +5.0
12/13 Home Memphis -16.5 W by 26 +9.5
12/16 Away Tennessee +4.5 L by 21 -16.5
12/20 Home Montana -30.5 W by 40 +9.5
12/30 Away California -7.5 W by 20 +12.5
01/02 Away Stanford -7.0 L by 4 -11.0
01/06 Home Duke (Pick) L by 11 -11.0
01/10 Home Boston College -21.0 W by 13 -8.0
01/13 Home Virginia -4.5 L by 9 -13.5
01/17 Away Pittsburgh -7.0 W by 41 +34.0
01/24 Home Virginia Tech -13.5 W by 14 +0.5
01/26 Away Duke +8.5 L by 31 -22.5
01/31 Home SMU -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
02/04 Home Notre Dame -18.0 W by 11 -7.0
02/07 Away Wake Forest -9.5 W by 8 -1.5
02/09 Home NC State -7.5 W by 41 +33.5
02/14 Neutral Baylor -7.0 W by 11 +4.0
02/17 Away SMU -4.0 L by 10 -14.0
02/21 Home Georgia Tech -23.0 W by 17 -6.0
02/23 Away North Carolina -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
02/28 Away Clemson -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
03/03 Home Syracuse -14.5 W by 15 +0.5
03/07 Away Miami +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
03/11 Neutral SMU -6.5 W by 4 -2.5
03/12 Neutral Miami -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
03/19 Neutral S Florida -2.5 W by 4 +1.5
03/21 Neutral Michigan St +5.5 L by 8 -2.5