SMU at Mississippi St: Point Spread Line Movement

Friday Nov 28, 2025 7:00 pm - Starkville, MS
Odds: Mississippi State by 1, Total Points: 162.5

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2238 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0 to 2 points. In these games:

• The team like Mississippi State won the game 1211 times (54.1%).
• The team like SMU won the game 1027 times (45.9%).
• The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 1118-1063-57 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 NCAA Basketball season there have been 984 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like SMU did better against the spread, going 497-465-22 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.