This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

Mt St Mary's at Saint Peter's: Box Score Simulation

Friday Jan 30, 2026 8:00 pm - Jersey City, NJ
Odds: Saint Peter's by 5.5, Total Points: 139.5

Matchup Menu: MSM @ SPU

More Games From Jan 30, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MSM SPU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MSM SPU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 48.8 56.0
Field Goal % 41.7% 37.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.2 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 42.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 30.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 23.8
Free Throw % 67.2% 72.8%
Ball Control MSM SPU
Rebounds 37.8 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 20.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 13.2
Turnovers 14.8 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.4
Steals 4.9 9.8
Fouls 16.4 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MSM SPU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MSM SPU
2 Point Attempt 37.4% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 30.1%
Player Fouled 24.2% 24.4%
Turnover 22.0% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 14.6% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MSM SPU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 37.1% 34.1%