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UMass vs. Toledo: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Mar 13, 2026 5:00 pm - Cleveland, OH (Neutral Site)
Odds: Toledo by 2.5, Total Points: 158.5

Matchup Menu: MASS vs. TOL

More Games From Mar 13, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 158.5	Official TR Pick	55% odds to go under
Under 158.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go under
Under 158.5	Decision Tree	55% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MASS	TOL
Season	19-12-0	13-19-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	13-7-0	9-12-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 2
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	7-3-0	4-6-0
Home	8-6-0	6-7-0
Away	11-6-0	7-12-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

UMass Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Marshall	152.0	72-78	Under	-2.0
11/08	Home	Albany	155.5	83-62	Under	-10.5
11/13	Home	Le Moyne	153.5	94-80	Over	+20.5
11/16	Home	C Connecticut	141.0	84-77	Over	+20.0
11/21	Neutral	Charleston	161.5	65-69	Under	-27.5
11/22	Neutral	Green Bay	146.0	75-79	Over	+8.0
11/24	Neutral	Oregon St	148.5	73-65	Under	-10.5
12/03	Home	Harvard	143.5	78-71	Over	+5.5
12/06	Home	UMass Lowell	156.5	80-60	Under	-16.5
12/10	Neutral	Boston College	143.0	76-74	Over	+7.0
12/13	Neutral	Florida St	165.5	103-95	Over	+32.5
12/20	Home	Kent St	163.5	59-69	Under	-35.5
12/22	Home	Massachusetts-Boston	--	91-40	Under	--
12/30	Away	E Michigan	148.5	74-80	Over	+5.5
01/03	Home	Bowling Green	152.0	100-101	Over	+49.0
01/06	Away	Ohio	161.0	83-86	Over	+8.0
01/10	Home	Ball St	147.0	79-71	Over	+3.0
01/13	Away	W Michigan	158.0	85-82	Over	+9.0
01/17	Away	N Illinois	156.5	68-70	Under	-18.5
01/20	Home	Toledo	163.5	84-82	Over	+2.5
01/23	Away	Buffalo	159.5	68-67	Under	-24.5
01/27	Away	Miami OH	164.5	84-86	Over	+5.5
01/31	Home	E Michigan	148.5	70-67	Under	-11.5
02/03	Home	C Michigan	151.5	95-89	Over	+32.5
02/07	Away	Coastal Car	147.5	91-94	Over	+37.5
02/13	Away	Akron	162.5	92-99	Over	+28.5
02/17	Home	Miami OH	164.0	77-86	Under	-1.0
02/21	Home	Buffalo	151.5	82-86	Over	+16.5
02/24	Away	Ball St	143.5	73-74	Over	+3.5
02/28	Away	Bowling Green	150.5	62-81	Under	-7.5
03/03	Home	Ohio	156.5	94-82	Over	+19.5
03/12	Neutral	Miami OH	160.5	87-83	Over	+9.5
03/13	Neutral	Toledo	158.5	67-77	Under	-14.5

Toledo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	S Alabama	151.0	74-76	Under	-1.0
11/08	Home	Marshall	161.0	73-85	Under	-3.0
11/11	Away	Wright St	159.0	81-71	Under	-7.0
11/15	Home	Detroit Mercy	158.5	90-83	Over	+14.5
11/19	Home	Youngstown St	160.5	92-75	Over	+6.5
11/24	Neutral	Troy	160.5	75-68	Under	-17.5
11/26	Neutral	Belmont	163.5	72-87	Under	-4.5
12/01	Home	Central State (OH)	--	102-58	Under	--
12/06	Away	Oakland	166.5	97-98	Over	+28.5
12/13	Away	Robert Morris	154.5	70-75	Under	-9.5
12/16	Away	Michigan St	150.5	69-92	Over	+10.5
12/20	Home	Lourdes	--	100-67	Under	--
12/30	Home	W Michigan	160.0	84-79	Over	+3.0
01/03	Away	C Michigan	158.0	78-75	Under	-5.0
01/06	Away	N Illinois	160.0	75-61	Under	-24.0
01/09	Home	Miami OH	166.0	73-87	Under	-6.0
01/13	Home	Ohio	161.5	101-85	Over	+24.5
01/16	Away	Kent St	168.0	84-87	Over	+3.0
01/20	Away	UMass	163.5	82-84	Over	+2.5
01/24	Home	Bowling Green	156.5	73-72	Under	-11.5
01/27	Away	Akron	169.5	81-91	Over	+2.5
01/31	Home	Ball St	146.5	73-55	Under	-18.5
02/03	Home	Kent St	161.5	72-75	Under	-14.5
02/07	Away	J Madison	153.0	71-73	Under	-9.0
02/11	Away	W Michigan	155.0	90-79	Over	+14.0
02/14	Away	Bowling Green	151.0	70-80	Under	-1.0
02/21	Home	E Michigan	146.5	94-75	Over	+22.5
02/24	Home	N Illinois	149.5	79-69	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Ohio	158.5	79-67	Under	-12.5
03/03	Away	Miami OH	162.5	72-74	Under	-16.5
03/06	Home	Buffalo	155.5	98-78	Over	+20.5
03/12	Neutral	Bowling Green	150.5	77-76	Over	+2.5
03/13	Neutral	UMass	158.5	77-67	Under	-14.5
03/14	Neutral	Akron	157.5	76-79	Under	-2.5