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UTEP at Missouri St: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Jan 2, 2026 8:00 pm - Springfield, MO
Odds: Missouri State by 3, Total Points: 131.5

Matchup Menu: UTEP @ MOSU

More Games From Jan 2, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 131.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 131.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under
Over 131.5	Similar Games	54% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	UTEP	MOSU
Season	12-15-1	19-12-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-10-1	17-6-0
Streak	Un 2	Ov 2
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	3-6-1	7-3-0
Home	5-8-0	9-6-0
Away	7-7-1	10-6-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

UTEP Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Texas-Permian Basin	--	98-56	Under	--
11/07	Home	Western New Mexico	--	107-70	Under	--
11/11	Home	Loyola Mymt	144.0	58-71	Under	-15.0
11/15	Away	Utah St	149.0	51-75	Under	-23.0
11/19	Home	St. Thomas (TX)	--	84-83	Under	--
11/24	Neutral	William & Mary	159.5	63-74	Under	-22.5
11/25	Neutral	UAB	148.5	59-75	Under	-14.5
12/07	Away	Seattle	136.5	68-75	Over	+6.5
12/13	Away	Hawai'i	138.0	61-66	Under	-11.0
12/21	Home	Norfolk St	136.5	71-72	Over	+6.5
12/22	Home	N Dakota St	140.0	76-66	Over	+2.0
12/29	Away	Louisiana Tech	130.0	63-75	Over	+8.0
01/02	Away	Missouri St	131.5	55-79	Over	+2.5
01/04	Away	Florida Intl	152.5	64-76	Under	-12.5
01/08	Home	Middle Tenn	138.5	83-80	Over	+24.5
01/10	Home	W Kentucky	144.5	56-68	Under	-20.5
01/15	Away	Delaware	125.0	70-69	Over	+14.0
01/17	Away	Liberty	137.5	69-80	Over	+11.5
01/22	Home	Florida Intl	149.5	83-77	Over	+10.5
01/24	Home	Missouri St	139.0	57-62	Under	-20.0
01/28	Home	Louisiana Tech	129.5	59-69	Under	-1.5
01/31	Home	Delaware	128.5	70-55	Under	-3.5
02/04	Away	Sam Houston	144.5	66-70	Under	-8.5
02/07	Home	New Mexico St	138.0	91-88	Over	+41.0
02/11	Away	Jacksonville St	133.0	69-64	Push	0.0
02/14	Home	Liberty	137.5	64-73	Under	-0.5
02/21	Away	New Mexico St	142.5	63-67	Under	-12.5
02/26	Away	Middle Tenn	139.5	67-77	Over	+4.5
02/28	Away	W Kentucky	145.5	65-97	Over	+16.5
03/05	Home	Kennesaw St	149.5	78-71	Under	-0.5
03/07	Home	Jacksonville St	139.5	61-64	Under	-14.5

Missouri St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Missouri Southern State	--	88-70	Under	--
11/08	Home	Northwestern Oklahoma State	--	106-57	Under	--
11/11	Home	Arkansas St	152.0	85-86	Over	+19.0
11/15	Away	UT Arlington	143.5	49-67	Under	-27.5
11/22	Home	UT Rio Grande	149.0	74-67	Under	-8.0
11/24	Home	LIU	145.5	61-75	Under	-9.5
11/30	Home	Northeastern St.	--	92-71	Under	--
12/06	Away	Tulsa	142.5	74-98	Over	+29.5
12/12	Away	Xavier	151.5	57-75	Under	-19.5
12/16	Home	Oral Roberts	146.5	63-62	Under	-21.5
12/23	Home	Lindenwood	144.5	70-65	Under	-9.5
12/29	Away	Delaware	132.0	61-43	Under	-28.0
01/02	Home	UTEP	131.5	79-55	Over	+2.5
01/04	Home	New Mexico St	135.0	89-82	Over	+36.0
01/07	Away	Kennesaw St	152.5	80-90	Over	+17.5
01/10	Home	Florida Intl	151.5	79-71	Under	-1.5
01/14	Away	W Kentucky	148.5	72-87	Over	+10.5
01/17	Away	Middle Tenn	138.5	87-90	Over	+38.5
01/22	Away	New Mexico St	144.0	84-75	Over	+15.0
01/24	Away	UTEP	139.0	62-57	Under	-20.0
01/28	Home	Sam Houston	148.5	71-80	Over	+2.5
01/31	Home	Jacksonville St	135.5	74-67	Over	+5.5
02/07	Away	Liberty	140.5	76-79	Over	+14.5
02/12	Home	Louisiana Tech	136.0	78-79	Over	+21.0
02/14	Home	Delaware	134.0	67-76	Over	+9.0
02/18	Home	Kennesaw St	152.5	87-91	Over	+25.5
02/21	Away	Florida Intl	154.5	67-70	Under	-17.5
02/26	Away	Louisiana Tech	139.5	70-72	Over	+2.5
02/28	Away	Sam Houston	152.5	81-86	Over	+14.5
03/05	Home	W Kentucky	152.5	87-74	Over	+8.5
03/07	Home	Middle Tenn	145.5	63-75	Under	-7.5
03/10	Neutral	Florida Intl	152.5	75-72	Under	-5.5
03/11	Neutral	Liberty	142.5	77-69	Over	+3.5
03/13	Neutral	Louisiana Tech	134.5	66-69	Over	+0.5