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UTEP at New Mexico St: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 9:00 pm - Las Cruces, NM
Odds: New Mexico State by 7.5, Total Points: 142.5

Matchup Menu: UTEP @ NMSU

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 142.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go over
Over 142.5	Similar Games	57% odds to go over
Over 142.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	UTEP	NMSU
Season	12-15-1	17-11-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-10-1	12-9-1
Streak	Un 2	Un 3
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	3-6-1	6-4-0
Home	5-8-0	7-5-0
Away	7-7-1	10-6-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

UTEP Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Texas-Permian Basin	--	98-56	Under	--
11/07	Home	Western New Mexico	--	107-70	Under	--
11/11	Home	Loyola Mymt	144.0	58-71	Under	-15.0
11/15	Away	Utah St	149.0	51-75	Under	-23.0
11/19	Home	St. Thomas (TX)	--	84-83	Under	--
11/24	Neutral	William & Mary	159.5	63-74	Under	-22.5
11/25	Neutral	UAB	148.5	59-75	Under	-14.5
12/07	Away	Seattle	136.5	68-75	Over	+6.5
12/13	Away	Hawai'i	138.0	61-66	Under	-11.0
12/21	Home	Norfolk St	136.5	71-72	Over	+6.5
12/22	Home	N Dakota St	140.0	76-66	Over	+2.0
12/29	Away	Louisiana Tech	130.0	63-75	Over	+8.0
01/02	Away	Missouri St	131.5	55-79	Over	+2.5
01/04	Away	Florida Intl	152.5	64-76	Under	-12.5
01/08	Home	Middle Tenn	138.5	83-80	Over	+24.5
01/10	Home	W Kentucky	144.5	56-68	Under	-20.5
01/15	Away	Delaware	125.0	70-69	Over	+14.0
01/17	Away	Liberty	137.5	69-80	Over	+11.5
01/22	Home	Florida Intl	149.5	83-77	Over	+10.5
01/24	Home	Missouri St	139.0	57-62	Under	-20.0
01/28	Home	Louisiana Tech	129.5	59-69	Under	-1.5
01/31	Home	Delaware	128.5	70-55	Under	-3.5
02/04	Away	Sam Houston	144.5	66-70	Under	-8.5
02/07	Home	New Mexico St	138.0	91-88	Over	+41.0
02/11	Away	Jacksonville St	133.0	69-64	Push	0.0
02/14	Home	Liberty	137.5	64-73	Under	-0.5
02/21	Away	New Mexico St	142.5	63-67	Under	-12.5
02/26	Away	Middle Tenn	139.5	67-77	Over	+4.5
02/28	Away	W Kentucky	145.5	65-97	Over	+16.5
03/05	Home	Kennesaw St	149.5	78-71	Under	-0.5
03/07	Home	Jacksonville St	139.5	61-64	Under	-14.5

New Mexico St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Adams St.	--	83-72	Under	--
11/11	Home	New Mexico Highlands	--	74-58	Under	--
11/15	Home	New Mexico	139.5	76-68	Over	+4.5
11/21	Home	Samford	146.0	81-72	Over	+7.0
11/25	Neutral	UC Irvine	138.5	57-45	Under	-36.5
11/26	Neutral	Georgia St	136.5	77-58	Under	-1.5
12/02	Neutral	S Alabama	135.5	75-77	Over	+16.5
12/06	Away	Abl Christian	132.0	69-77	Over	+14.0
12/13	Neutral	Tulsa	146.0	70-83	Over	+7.0
12/21	Home	Sam Houston	153.5	87-78	Over	+11.5
12/28	Home	University of the Southwest	--	104-33	Under	--
01/02	Away	Florida Intl	155.5	74-89	Over	+7.5
01/04	Away	Missouri St	135.0	82-89	Over	+36.0
01/08	Home	W Kentucky	154.5	80-64	Under	-10.5
01/10	Home	Middle Tenn	142.5	55-59	Under	-28.5
01/15	Away	Liberty	144.5	71-73	Under	-0.5
01/17	Away	Delaware	133.5	97-68	Over	+31.5
01/22	Home	Missouri St	144.0	75-84	Over	+15.0
01/24	Home	Florida Intl	157.5	78-81	Over	+1.5
01/28	Home	Delaware	137.5	64-73	Under	-0.5
01/31	Away	Kennesaw St	159.0	53-76	Under	-30.0
02/04	Away	Louisiana Tech	135.0	72-63	Push	0.0
02/07	Away	UTEP	138.0	88-91	Over	+41.0
02/11	Home	Liberty	143.5	75-77	Over	+8.5
02/14	Away	Jacksonville St	139.0	79-70	Over	+10.0
02/21	Home	UTEP	142.5	67-63	Under	-12.5
02/26	Away	W Kentucky	151.5	70-93	Over	+11.5
02/28	Away	Middle Tenn	148.5	85-86	Over	+22.5
03/05	Home	Jacksonville St	145.5	77-75	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	Kennesaw St	157.5	79-76	Under	-2.5
03/10	Neutral	Jacksonville St	141.5	68-63	Under	-10.5
03/11	Neutral	Sam Houston	154.5	61-69	Under	-24.5