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UT Arlington at UT Rio Grande: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Dec 11, 2025 7:30 pm - Edinburg, TX
Odds: UT Rio Grande Valley by 4.5 , Total Points: 145.5
This line is off the board at major sportsbooks or was flagged by our system as stale or suspect.

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
UT Rio Grande -4.5 Official TR Pick UT Rio Grande 51% odds to cover
UT Rio Grande -4.5 Similar Games UT Rio Grande 53% odds to cover
UT Rio Grande -4.5 Decision Tree UT Rio Grande 51% odds to cover
UT Arlington +4.5 Power Rating Model UT Arlington 67% odds to cover
UT Arlington +4.5 Predictive Ratings UT Arlington 52% odds to cover

NOTE: The spread for this game has been taken off the board at major sportsbooks or flagged by our system as stale or suspect. The above analysis uses the previously available spread.

ATS Situational Trends

Record UTA adv UTRGV
Season 17-13-0 18-13-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-9-0 14-10-0
Streak W4 W3
Last 5 4-1-0 4-1-0
Last 10 5-5-0 7-3-0
Home 7-4-0 5-8-0
Away 10-9-0 13-5-0

UT Arlington Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home North Texas-Dallas -- W by 51 --
11/08 Away New Mexico +13.5 L by 18 -4.5
11/10 Home Arlington Baptist College -- W by 56 --
11/15 Home Missouri St -3.5 W by 18 +14.5
11/18 Away Evansville +2.0 W by 8 +10.0
11/21 Neutral Campbell +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
11/22 Away Weber St +3.5 W by 1 +4.5
11/29 Home SF Austin -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
12/02 Away Arkansas St +5.5 L by 20 -14.5
12/11 Away UT Rio Grande +4.5 W by 8 +12.5
12/17 Away Stanford +11.0 L by 16 -5.0
12/22 Away Oral Roberts -3.5 W by 12 +8.5
12/29 Home Tarleton St -2.5 L by 6 -8.5
01/01 Home Cal Baptist +2.5 W by 12 +14.5
01/03 Away S Utah -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
01/10 Home Abl Christian -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
01/15 Away Utah Tech +1.0 W by 4 +5.0
01/17 Away Utah Valley +11.5 L by 12 -0.5
01/21 Home Tarleton St -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
01/29 Home S Utah -8.5 W by 19 +10.5
01/31 Home Cal Baptist -1.5 L by 10 -11.5
02/05 Away Utah Tech +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
02/07 Away Utah Valley +12.5 L by 21 -8.5
02/12 Away Abl Christian +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
02/14 Home S Utah -8.5 L by 5 -13.5
02/19 Home Utah Tech -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
02/21 Home Utah Valley +6.5 L by 12 -5.5
02/26 Away Cal Baptist +6.5 L by 12 -5.5
03/05 Away Tarleton St +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
03/07 Away Abl Christian +1.5 W by 7 +8.5
03/12 Neutral S Utah -4.5 W by 6 +1.5
03/13 Neutral Utah Valley +8.5 L by 2 +6.5

UT Rio Grande Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Baylor +24.5 L by 15 +9.5
11/08 Away S Utah -1.5 W by 23 +21.5
11/11 Away Boise St +16.5 L by 20 -3.5
11/17 Home SW Adventist -- W by 57 --
11/22 Away Missouri St +3.0 L by 7 -4.0
11/24 Away Illinois +33.0 L by 14 +19.0
12/03 Away SF Austin +6.5 L by 13 -6.5
12/07 Home Austin Peay -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
12/11 Home UT Arlington -4.5 L by 8 -12.5
12/16 Away Lamar +3.5 W by 11 +14.5
12/20 Home College of Biblical Studies -- W by 58 --
12/29 Home New Orleans -6.5 L by 16 -22.5
12/31 Home Nicholls -3.5 L by 2 -5.5
01/03 Home Texas A&M-CC -2.5 L by 4 -6.5
01/05 Home Incarnate Word -1.0 W by 13 +12.0
01/10 Away E Texas A&M -4.0 L by 8 -12.0
01/12 Away NW State -2.5 L by 1 -3.5
01/17 Home McNeese +9.5 W by 3 +12.5
01/19 Home SE Louisiana -5.5 W by 3 -2.5
01/24 Away Hou Christian -3.0 W by 17 +14.0
01/26 Away Texas A&M-CC +2.5 W by 9 +11.5
01/31 Away Incarnate Word -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
02/02 Home Hou Christian -9.5 W by 17 +7.5
02/07 Away New Orleans -1.0 W by 19 +18.0
02/09 Away Nicholls -2.5 W by 20 +17.5
02/14 Home SF Austin -1.5 L by 9 -10.5
02/16 Home Lamar -6.5 W by 5 -1.5
02/21 Away SE Louisiana -3.5 W by 21 +17.5
02/23 Away McNeese +12.5 L by 7 +5.5
02/28 Home E Texas A&M -10.5 W by 8 -2.5
03/02 Home NW State -9.5 W by 12 +2.5
03/09 Neutral Nicholls -5.5 W by 18 +12.5
03/10 Away McNeese +8.5 L by 4 +4.5