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Purdue FW at N Kentucky: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Feb 18, 2026 7:00 pm - Highland Heights, KY
Odds: Northern Kentucky by 6, Total Points: 154

Matchup Menu: PFW @ NKU

More Games From Feb 18, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 154.0	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 154.0	Similar Games	58% odds to go under
Under 154.0	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	PFW	NKU
Season	16-13-0	21-10-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	12-9-0	16-7-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 4
Last 5	3-2-0	4-1-0
Last 10	6-4-0	7-3-0
Home	7-5-0	9-5-0
Away	9-8-0	12-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Purdue FW Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Grand Canyon	155.0	71-90	Over	+6.0
11/07	Away	Ohio St	159.5	68-94	Over	+2.5
11/09	Home	Dominican (IL)	--	137-56	Under	--
11/12	Away	W Michigan	162.5	71-83	Under	-8.5
11/15	Home	Boyce	--	118-68	Under	--
11/18	Away	Utah	161.0	77-85	Over	+1.0
11/21	Away	Saint Louis	165.5	60-91	Under	-14.5
11/25	Home	Chicago St	148.5	90-77	Over	+18.5
11/28	Home	Holy Cross (IN)	--	92-59	Under	--
12/03	Away	Oakland	162.5	92-101	Over	+30.5
12/06	Home	N Kentucky	152.5	79-77	Over	+3.5
12/10	Home	E Michigan	146.5	80-65	Under	-1.5
12/14	Home	Detroit Mercy	153.5	81-77	Over	+4.5
12/21	Away	Notre Dame	149.0	72-69	Under	-8.0
12/29	Away	Milwaukee	157.0	55-77	Under	-25.0
01/01	Home	Green Bay	144.5	54-72	Under	-18.5
01/04	Home	Cleveland St	159.5	74-71	Under	-14.5
01/07	Away	Youngstown St	145.0	71-69	Under	-5.0
01/11	Away	Robert Morris	146.0	79-74	Over	+7.0
01/18	Home	Milwaukee	148.5	100-82	Over	+33.5
01/21	Away	Detroit Mercy	155.5	83-76	Over	+3.5
01/28	Home	Oakland	164.5	65-74	Under	-25.5
01/31	Home	Robert Morris	144.5	83-71	Over	+9.5
02/04	Home	Youngstown St	148.0	61-90	Over	+3.0
02/07	Away	Wright St	150.0	68-73	Under	-9.0
02/12	Away	Green Bay	144.5	59-76	Under	-9.5
02/15	Home	IU Indy	160.0	83-78	Over	+1.0
02/18	Away	N Kentucky	154.0	71-87	Over	+4.0
02/22	Away	Cleveland St	162.5	92-86	Over	+15.5
02/25	Home	Wright St	150.5	70-74	Under	-6.5
02/28	Away	IU Indy	161.5	87-81	Over	+6.5
03/03	Away	Green Bay	145.5	56-64	Under	-25.5

N Kentucky Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Cincinnati Clermont	--	126-69	Under	--
11/08	Away	Tennessee	138.0	56-95	Over	+13.0
11/12	Away	E Tennessee St	143.0	63-75	Under	-5.0
11/16	Home	Cumberland (KY)	--	101-73	Under	--
11/20	Away	C Michigan	145.5	90-66	Over	+10.5
11/24	Home	E Kentucky	156.5	82-71	Under	-3.5
11/26	Home	Wofford	149.5	93-83	Over	+26.5
11/29	Home	Boston U	143.0	74-65	Under	-4.0
12/03	Home	Cleveland St	157.5	95-80	Over	+17.5
12/06	Away	Purdue FW	152.5	77-79	Over	+3.5
12/09	Home	Brescia	--	92-53	Under	--
12/13	Away	Bellarmine	146.5	80-76	Over	+9.5
12/17	Home	Oakland	163.5	77-82	Under	-4.5
12/21	Home	Charleston	153.0	74-85	Over	+6.0
12/29	Away	Robert Morris	149.5	79-77	Over	+6.5
01/01	Home	IU Indy	175.5	81-72	Under	-22.5
01/04	Home	Youngstown St	146.5	94-79	Over	+26.5
01/09	Away	Milwaukee	157.5	85-67	Under	-5.5
01/11	Away	Green Bay	144.5	78-80	Over	+13.5
01/15	Home	Detroit Mercy	159.5	96-71	Over	+7.5
01/17	Home	Robert Morris	153.5	89-92	Over	+27.5
01/24	Away	Wright St	152.5	80-88	Over	+15.5
01/30	Away	Detroit Mercy	162.5	77-90	Over	+4.5
02/01	Away	Oakland	166.5	65-76	Under	-25.5
02/04	Home	Green Bay	150.0	84-87	Over	+21.0
02/07	Home	Milwaukee	157.0	67-62	Under	-28.0
02/12	Away	IU Indy	164.5	84-81	Over	+0.5
02/18	Home	Purdue FW	154.0	87-71	Over	+4.0
02/22	Away	Youngstown St	153.5	58-64	Under	-31.5
02/25	Away	Cleveland St	165.5	81-70	Under	-14.5
02/28	Home	Wright St	153.5	91-92	Over	+29.5
03/04	Away	Oakland	162.5	85-84	Over	+6.5
03/08	Neutral	Green Bay	146.5	96-76	Over	+25.5
03/09	Neutral	Wright St	157.5	90-103	Over	+35.5