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Purdue FW at Grand Canyon: Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 3, 2025 9:00 pm - Phoenix, AZ
Odds: Grand Canyon by 14.5, Total Points: 155

Matchup Menu: PFW @ GCU

More Games From Nov 3, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PFW GCU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PFW GCU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 56.3
Field Goal % 38.4% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.3% 57.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 36.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 21.1
Free Throw % 69.9% 75.9%
Ball Control PFW GCU
Rebounds 26.5 42.7
Rebounds - Defensive 20.2 31.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 11.7
Turnovers 10.0 11.9
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.2
Steals 6.7 5.0
Fouls 16.7 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PFW GCU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PFW GCU
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 29.0%
Player Fouled 21.4% 23.7%
Turnover 14.3% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PFW GCU
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 16.7% 36.7%