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Texas at Arkansas: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Mar 4, 2026 7:00 pm - Fayetteville, AR
Odds: Arkansas by 6.5, Total Points: 163.5

Matchup Menu: TEX @ ARK

More Games From Mar 4, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Arkansas -6.5 Official TR Pick Arkansas 53% odds to cover
Arkansas -6.5 Similar Games Arkansas 55% odds to cover
Arkansas -6.5 Decision Tree Arkansas 53% odds to cover
Arkansas -6.5 Predictive Ratings Arkansas 52% odds to cover
Texas +6.5 Power Rating Model Texas 61% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TEX adv ARK
Season 20-15-0 23-14-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-10-0 13-8-0
Streak W4 L2
Last 5 4-1-0 2-3-0
Last 10 5-5-0 5-5-0
Home 8-9-0 12-5-0
Away 12-6-0 11-9-0

Texas Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Neutral Duke +10.5 L by 15 -4.5
11/08 Home Lafayette -25.5 W by 37 +11.5
11/12 Home F Dickinson -31.5 W by 35 +3.5
11/15 Home Kansas City -31.5 W by 16 -15.5
11/18 Home Rider -30.5 W by 34 +3.5
11/24 Neutral Arizona St -7.5 L by 1 -8.5
11/25 Neutral Chaminade -- W by 41 --
11/26 Neutral NC State +1.0 W by 5 +6.0
12/03 Home Virginia -3.0 L by 19 -22.0
12/08 Home Southern -22.0 W by 26 +4.0
12/12 Away UConn +11.5 L by 8 +3.5
12/16 Home Le Moyne -29.5 W by 42 +12.5
12/22 Home Maryland ES -33.0 W by 23 -10.0
01/03 Home Mississippi St -10.0 L by 3 -13.0
01/06 Away Tennessee +11.5 L by 14 -2.5
01/10 Away Alabama +11.5 W by 4 +15.5
01/14 Home Vanderbilt +4.0 W by 16 +20.0
01/17 Home Texas A&M -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
01/21 Away Kentucky +6.5 L by 5 +1.5
01/24 Home Georgia -3.5 W by 20 +16.5
01/28 Away Auburn +6.5 L by 6 +0.5
01/31 Away Oklahoma -1.5 W by 10 +8.5
02/03 Home South Carolina -13.0 W by 9 -4.0
02/07 Home Mississippi -9.5 W by 11 +1.5
02/14 Away Missouri +2.5 W by 17 +19.5
02/17 Home LSU -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
02/21 Away Georgia +2.5 L by 11 -8.5
02/25 Home Florida +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
02/28 Away Texas A&M +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
03/04 Away Arkansas +6.5 L by 20 -13.5
03/07 Home Oklahoma -6.5 L by 3 -9.5
03/11 Neutral Mississippi -5.5 L by 10 -15.5
03/17 Neutral NC State +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
03/19 Neutral BYU +2.5 W by 8 +10.5
03/21 Neutral Gonzaga +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
03/26 Neutral Purdue +8.5 L by 2 +6.5

Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Southern -27.0 W by 32 +5.0
11/08 Away Michigan St +2.5 L by 3 -0.5
11/11 Home C Arkansas -35.5 W by 37 +1.5
11/14 Home Samford -24.5 W by 4 -20.5
11/18 Home Winthrop -22.5 W by 1 -21.5
11/21 Home Jackson St -29.5 W by 54 +24.5
11/27 Neutral Duke +12.5 L by 9 +3.5
12/03 Home Louisville +2.0 W by 9 +11.0
12/06 Neutral Fresno St -19.5 W by 24 +4.5
12/13 Neutral Texas Tech +2.0 W by 7 +9.0
12/16 Home Queens -23.0 W by 28 +5.0
12/20 Neutral Houston +5.5 L by 9 -3.5
12/29 Home J Madison -23.5 W by 29 +5.5
01/03 Home Tennessee +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
01/07 Away Mississippi -4.0 W by 7 +3.0
01/10 Away Auburn +2.0 L by 22 -20.0
01/14 Home South Carolina -12.0 W by 34 +22.0
01/17 Away Georgia +2.5 L by 14 -11.5
01/20 Home Vanderbilt -1.5 W by 25 +23.5
01/24 Home LSU -10.5 W by 4 -6.5
01/27 Away Oklahoma -3.0 W by 4 +1.0
01/31 Home Kentucky -7.0 L by 8 -15.0
02/07 Away Mississippi St -6.0 W by 20 +14.0
02/10 Away LSU -4.5 W by 29 +24.5
02/14 Home Auburn -7.0 W by 13 +6.0
02/18 Away Alabama +4.0 L by 2 +2.0
02/21 Home Missouri -9.5 W by 8 -1.5
02/25 Home Texas A&M -7.5 W by 15 +7.5
02/28 Away Florida +9.5 L by 34 -24.5
03/04 Home Texas -6.5 W by 20 +13.5
03/07 Away Missouri +2.5 W by 4 +6.5
03/13 Neutral Oklahoma -6.5 W by 3 -3.5
03/14 Neutral Mississippi -8.5 W by 3 -5.5
03/15 Neutral Vanderbilt +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
03/19 Neutral Hawai'i -14.5 W by 19 +4.5
03/21 Neutral High Point -12.5 W by 6 -6.5
03/26 Neutral Arizona +8.5 L by 21 -12.5