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Texas at Alabama: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Jan 10, 2026 8:00 pm - Tuscaloosa, AL
Odds: Alabama by 11.5, Total Points: 177.5

Matchup Menu: TEX @ ALA

More Games From Jan 10, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 177.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 177.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go under
Under 177.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TEX	ALA
Season	20-15-0	17-16-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	12-7-0	10-8-1
Streak	Ov 1	Un 2
Last 5	1-4-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	5-5-0
Home	10-7-0	7-8-0
Away	10-8-0	10-8-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Texas Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Neutral	Duke	154.0	60-75	Under	-19.0
11/08	Home	Lafayette	154.0	97-60	Over	+3.0
11/12	Home	F Dickinson	158.5	93-58	Under	-7.5
11/15	Home	Kansas City	159.5	71-55	Under	-33.5
11/18	Home	Rider	144.0	99-65	Over	+20.0
11/24	Neutral	Arizona St	152.5	86-87	Over	+20.5
11/25	Neutral	Chaminade	--	119-78	Under	--
11/26	Neutral	NC State	161.5	102-97	Over	+37.5
12/03	Home	Virginia	154.5	69-88	Over	+2.5
12/08	Home	Southern	158.5	95-69	Over	+5.5
12/12	Away	UConn	145.5	63-71	Under	-11.5
12/16	Home	Le Moyne	153.5	95-53	Under	-5.5
12/22	Home	Maryland ES	138.5	94-71	Over	+26.5
01/03	Home	Mississippi St	157.5	98-101	Over	+41.5
01/06	Away	Tennessee	153.0	71-85	Over	+3.0
01/10	Away	Alabama	177.5	92-88	Over	+2.5
01/14	Home	Vanderbilt	164.0	80-64	Under	-20.0
01/17	Home	Texas A&M	166.0	70-74	Under	-22.0
01/21	Away	Kentucky	151.5	80-85	Over	+13.5
01/24	Home	Georgia	167.5	87-67	Under	-13.5
01/28	Away	Auburn	154.5	82-88	Over	+15.5
01/31	Away	Oklahoma	156.5	79-69	Under	-8.5
02/03	Home	South Carolina	149.5	84-75	Over	+9.5
02/07	Home	Mississippi	144.5	79-68	Over	+2.5
02/14	Away	Missouri	150.5	85-68	Over	+2.5
02/17	Home	LSU	150.5	88-85	Over	+22.5
02/21	Away	Georgia	163.5	80-91	Over	+7.5
02/25	Home	Florida	158.5	71-84	Under	-3.5
02/28	Away	Texas A&M	160.5	76-70	Under	-14.5
03/04	Away	Arkansas	163.5	85-105	Over	+26.5
03/07	Home	Oklahoma	154.5	85-88	Over	+18.5
03/11	Neutral	Mississippi	147.5	66-76	Under	-5.5
03/17	Neutral	NC State	158.5	68-66	Under	-24.5
03/19	Neutral	BYU	156.5	79-71	Under	-6.5
03/21	Neutral	Gonzaga	146.5	74-68	Under	-4.5
03/26	Neutral	Purdue	145.5	77-79	Over	+10.5

Alabama Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	North Dakota	170.5	91-62	Under	-17.5
11/08	Away	St John's	--	103-96	Under	--
11/13	Home	Purdue	172.5	80-87	Under	-5.5
11/19	Neutral	Illinois	181.5	90-86	Under	-5.5
11/24	Neutral	Gonzaga	178.5	85-95	Over	+1.5
11/25	Neutral	UNLV	181.0	115-76	Over	+10.0
11/26	Neutral	Maryland	166.5	105-72	Over	+10.5
12/03	Home	Clemson	166.0	90-84	Over	+8.0
12/07	Home	UTSA	171.0	97-55	Under	-19.0
12/13	Neutral	Arizona	178.5	75-96	Under	-7.5
12/17	Home	S Florida	178.5	104-93	Over	+18.5
12/21	Neutral	Kennesaw St	182.5	92-81	Under	-9.5
12/29	Home	Yale	171.0	102-78	Over	+9.0
01/03	Home	Kentucky	174.0	89-74	Under	-11.0
01/07	Away	Vanderbilt	176.0	90-96	Over	+10.0
01/10	Home	Texas	177.5	88-92	Over	+2.5
01/13	Away	Mississippi St	171.5	97-82	Over	+7.5
01/17	Away	Oklahoma	176.0	83-81	Under	-12.0
01/24	Home	Tennessee	167.5	73-79	Under	-15.5
01/27	Home	Missouri	166.5	90-64	Under	-12.5
02/01	Away	Florida	177.0	77-100	Push	0.0
02/04	Home	Texas A&M	179.5	100-97	Over	+17.5
02/07	Away	Auburn	175.5	96-92	Over	+12.5
02/11	Away	Mississippi	163.0	93-74	Over	+4.0
02/14	Home	South Carolina	168.0	89-75	Under	-4.0
02/18	Home	Arkansas	184.0	117-115	Over	+48.0
02/21	Away	LSU	171.5	90-83	Over	+1.5
02/25	Home	Mississippi St	176.5	100-75	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Tennessee	162.5	71-69	Under	-22.5
03/03	Away	Georgia	179.5	88-98	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	Auburn	175.5	96-84	Over	+4.5
03/13	Neutral	Mississippi	166.5	79-80	Under	-7.5
03/20	Neutral	Hofstra	158.5	90-70	Over	+1.5
03/22	Neutral	Texas Tech	164.5	90-65	Under	-9.5
03/27	Neutral	Michigan	172.5	77-90	Under	-5.5