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Texas vs. Purdue: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Mar 26, 2026 7:10 pm - San Jose, CA (Neutral Site)
Odds: Purdue by 8.5, Total Points: 145.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Purdue -8.5 Official TR Pick Purdue 52% odds to cover
Purdue -8.5 Decision Tree Purdue 52% odds to cover
Texas +8.5 Power Rating Model Texas 65% odds to cover
Texas +8.5 Similar Games Texas 51% odds to cover
Texas +8.5 Predictive Ratings Texas 51% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TEX adv PUR
Season 20-15-0 17-22-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-10-0 9-15-0
Streak W4 L2
Last 5 4-1-0 3-2-0
Last 10 5-5-0 4-6-0
Home 8-9-0 5-12-0
Away 12-6-0 12-10-0

Texas Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Neutral Duke +10.5 L by 15 -4.5
11/08 Home Lafayette -25.5 W by 37 +11.5
11/12 Home F Dickinson -31.5 W by 35 +3.5
11/15 Home Kansas City -31.5 W by 16 -15.5
11/18 Home Rider -30.5 W by 34 +3.5
11/24 Neutral Arizona St -7.5 L by 1 -8.5
11/25 Neutral Chaminade -- W by 41 --
11/26 Neutral NC State +1.0 W by 5 +6.0
12/03 Home Virginia -3.0 L by 19 -22.0
12/08 Home Southern -22.0 W by 26 +4.0
12/12 Away UConn +11.5 L by 8 +3.5
12/16 Home Le Moyne -29.5 W by 42 +12.5
12/22 Home Maryland ES -33.0 W by 23 -10.0
01/03 Home Mississippi St -10.0 L by 3 -13.0
01/06 Away Tennessee +11.5 L by 14 -2.5
01/10 Away Alabama +11.5 W by 4 +15.5
01/14 Home Vanderbilt +4.0 W by 16 +20.0
01/17 Home Texas A&M -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
01/21 Away Kentucky +6.5 L by 5 +1.5
01/24 Home Georgia -3.5 W by 20 +16.5
01/28 Away Auburn +6.5 L by 6 +0.5
01/31 Away Oklahoma -1.5 W by 10 +8.5
02/03 Home South Carolina -13.0 W by 9 -4.0
02/07 Home Mississippi -9.5 W by 11 +1.5
02/14 Away Missouri +2.5 W by 17 +19.5
02/17 Home LSU -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
02/21 Away Georgia +2.5 L by 11 -8.5
02/25 Home Florida +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
02/28 Away Texas A&M +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
03/04 Away Arkansas +6.5 L by 20 -13.5
03/07 Home Oklahoma -6.5 L by 3 -9.5
03/11 Neutral Mississippi -5.5 L by 10 -15.5
03/17 Neutral NC State +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
03/19 Neutral BYU +2.5 W by 8 +10.5
03/21 Neutral Gonzaga +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
03/26 Neutral Purdue +8.5 L by 2 +6.5

Purdue Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Evansville -34.0 W by 31 -3.0
11/07 Home Oakland -32.0 W by 10 -22.0
11/13 Away Alabama +3.0 W by 7 +10.0
11/16 Home Akron -18.5 W by 18 -0.5
11/20 Neutral Memphis -15.0 W by 9 -6.0
11/21 Neutral Texas Tech -2.5 W by 30 +27.5
11/28 Home E Illinois -40.5 W by 47 +6.5
12/02 Away Rutgers -13.5 W by 16 +2.5
12/06 Home Iowa St -4.0 L by 23 -27.0
12/10 Home Minnesota -20.0 W by 28 +8.0
12/13 Home Marquette -17.0 W by 20 +3.0
12/20 Neutral Auburn -7.5 W by 28 +20.5
12/29 Home Kent St -24.0 W by 41 +17.0
01/03 Away Wisconsin -5.5 W by 16 +10.5
01/07 Home Washington -16.5 W by 8 -8.5
01/10 Home Penn St -22.5 W by 8 -14.5
01/14 Home Iowa -10.5 W by 7 -3.5
01/17 Away USC -9.0 W by 5 -4.0
01/20 Away UCLA -5.5 L by 2 -7.5
01/24 Home Illinois -5.5 L by 6 -11.5
01/27 Away Indiana -4.5 L by 5 -9.5
02/01 Away Maryland -14.5 W by 30 +15.5
02/07 Home Oregon -18.5 W by 4 -14.5
02/10 Away Nebraska +2.0 W by 3 +5.0
02/14 Away Iowa -1.0 W by 21 +20.0
02/17 Home Michigan +2.5 L by 11 -8.5
02/20 Home Indiana -11.0 W by 29 +18.0
02/26 Home Michigan St -6.5 L by 2 -8.5
03/01 Away Ohio St -6.5 L by 8 -14.5
03/04 Away Northwestern -11.5 W by 4 -7.5
03/07 Home Wisconsin -9.5 L by 4 -13.5
03/12 Neutral Northwestern -13.5 W by 13 -0.5
03/13 Neutral Nebraska -4.5 W by 16 +11.5
03/14 Neutral UCLA -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
03/15 Neutral Michigan +4.5 W by 8 +12.5
03/20 Neutral Queens -25.5 W by 33 +7.5
03/22 Neutral Miami -7.5 W by 10 +2.5
03/26 Neutral Texas -8.5 W by 2 -6.5
03/28 Neutral Arizona +5.5 L by 15 -9.5