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New Mexico at Grand Canyon: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 11, 2026 10:00 pm - Phoenix, AZ
Odds: Grand Canyon by 1, Total Points: 149

Matchup Menu: UNM @ GCU

More Games From Feb 11, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNM GCU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UNM GCU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 54.5
Field Goal % 42.0% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 29.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 29.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 22.0
Free Throw % 72.2% 75.9%
Ball Control UNM GCU
Rebounds 33.7 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 9.3
Turnovers 9.3 12.3
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.5
Steals 6.9 5.5
Fouls 17.3 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNM GCU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UNM GCU
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 35.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 30.9%
Player Fouled 25.1% 24.2%
Turnover 13.1% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNM GCU
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 27.7%