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W Illinois at S Indiana: Box Score Simulation

Friday Jan 23, 2026 8:30 pm - Evansville, IN
Odds: Southern Indiana by 6.5, Total Points: 136.5

Matchup Menu: WIU @ USI

More Games From Jan 23, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIU USI
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting WIU USI
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 58.9
Field Goal % 40.2% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 41.8 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.2% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.7 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 30.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 23.3
Free Throw % 65.3% 67.6%
Ball Control WIU USI
Rebounds 34.8 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 12.8
Turnovers 9.7 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.7
Steals 4.3 5.4
Fouls 14.6 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIU USI
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with WIU USI
2 Point Attempt 51.7% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 18.2% 25.5%
Player Fouled 21.4% 21.1%
Turnover 13.9% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIU USI
Shot Blocked 8.0% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 33.7%