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UCF at Kansas St: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Jan 14, 2026 8:00 pm - Manhattan, KS
Odds: Kansas State by 2.5, Total Points: 170.5

Matchup Menu: UCF @ KSU

More Games From Jan 14, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 170.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 170.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go under
Under 170.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	UCF	KSU
Season	13-20-0	17-15-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	7-13-0	9-10-0
Streak	Un 4	Ov 2
Last 5	1-4-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	6-4-0
Home	9-9-0	9-9-0
Away	4-11-0	8-6-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

UCF Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Hofstra	140.5	82-78	Over	+19.5
11/08	Home	Vanderbilt	166.5	93-105	Over	+31.5
11/11	Home	Florida A&M	170.5	97-60	Under	-13.5
11/14	Away	Texas A&M	173.5	86-74	Under	-13.5
11/17	Home	Oakland	162.5	87-83	Over	+7.5
11/20	Neutral	Pittsburgh	149.5	77-67	Under	-5.5
11/25	Home	Quinnipiac	162.5	102-91	Over	+30.5
11/29	Home	VMI	159.5	82-57	Under	-20.5
12/07	Home	Towson	148.5	86-61	Under	-1.5
12/17	Home	Mercer	160.5	81-63	Under	-16.5
12/20	Home	FGCU	161.5	102-80	Over	+20.5
12/23	Neutral	Florida Atlantic	162.5	85-80	Over	+2.5
01/03	Home	Kansas	157.5	81-75	Under	-1.5
01/06	Away	Oklahoma St	175.5	76-87	Under	-12.5
01/11	Home	Cincinnati	150.5	73-72	Under	-5.5
01/14	Away	Kansas St	170.5	82-73	Under	-15.5
01/17	Home	Arizona	166.0	77-84	Under	-5.0
01/20	Away	Iowa St	157.5	57-87	Under	-13.5
01/24	Away	Colorado	159.5	95-86	Over	+21.5
01/27	Home	Arizona St	161.5	79-76	Under	-6.5
01/31	Home	Texas Tech	160.5	88-80	Over	+7.5
02/04	Away	Houston	147.0	55-79	Under	-13.0
02/08	Away	Cincinnati	146.0	72-92	Over	+18.0
02/14	Home	West Virginia	138.5	67-74	Over	+2.5
02/17	Home	TCU	154.5	82-71	Under	-1.5
02/21	Away	Utah	154.5	73-71	Under	-10.5
02/24	Away	BYU	161.5	97-84	Over	+19.5
02/28	Home	Baylor	160.5	86-87	Over	+12.5
03/03	Home	Oklahoma St	167.5	104-111	Over	+47.5
03/06	Away	West Virginia	142.5	62-77	Under	-3.5
03/11	Neutral	Cincinnati	149.5	66-65	Under	-18.5
03/12	Neutral	Arizona	159.5	59-81	Under	-19.5
03/20	Neutral	UCLA	151.5	71-75	Under	-5.5

Kansas St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	NC Greensboro	149.0	93-64	Over	+8.0
11/08	Home	Bellarmine	168.5	98-71	Over	+0.5
11/13	Home	California	163.5	99-96	Over	+31.5
11/17	Home	Tulsa	159.5	84-83	Over	+7.5
11/20	Neutral	Mississippi St	165.0	98-77	Over	+10.0
11/21	Neutral	Nebraska	169.0	85-86	Over	+2.0
11/25	Away	Indiana	164.0	69-86	Under	-9.0
12/01	Home	Bowling Green	159.0	66-82	Under	-11.0
12/06	Home	Seton Hall	148.0	67-78	Under	-3.0
12/08	Home	Miss Valley St	160.5	108-49	Under	-3.5
12/13	Away	Creighton	159.5	83-76	Under	-0.5
12/20	Home	South Dakota	176.5	106-76	Over	+5.5
12/28	Home	UL Monroe	169.0	94-85	Over	+10.0
01/03	Home	BYU	175.5	73-83	Under	-19.5
01/07	Away	Arizona	172.0	76-101	Over	+5.0
01/10	Away	Arizona St	169.5	84-87	Over	+1.5
01/14	Home	UCF	170.5	73-82	Under	-15.5
01/17	Away	Oklahoma St	175.5	83-84	Under	-8.5
01/20	Home	Utah	168.5	81-78	Under	-9.5
01/24	Home	Kansas	158.5	62-86	Under	-10.5
01/27	Away	West Virginia	145.5	54-59	Under	-32.5
02/01	Home	Iowa St	154.5	61-95	Over	+1.5
02/07	Away	TCU	155.5	82-84	Over	+10.5
02/11	Home	Cincinnati	149.5	62-91	Over	+3.5
02/14	Away	Houston	144.0	64-78	Under	-2.0
02/17	Home	Baylor	158.5	90-74	Over	+5.5
02/21	Away	Texas Tech	158.5	72-100	Over	+13.5
02/25	Away	Colorado	163.5	70-79	Under	-14.5
02/28	Home	TCU	160.5	68-77	Under	-15.5
03/03	Home	West Virginia	143.5	65-63	Under	-15.5
03/07	Away	Kansas	157.5	85-104	Over	+31.5
03/10	Neutral	BYU	168.5	91-105	Over	+27.5