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Southern at NW State: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Nov 29, 2025 2:00 pm - Natchitoches, LA
Odds: Southern by 3.5, Total Points: 144.5

Matchup Menu: SOU @ NWST

More Games From Nov 29, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 145.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 145.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under
Over 145.5	Similar Games	57% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	SOU	NWST
Season	20-11-0	15-15-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	13-8-0	9-14-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 5
Last 5	3-2-0	0-5-0
Last 10	7-3-0	3-7-0
Home	7-2-0	4-8-0
Away	13-9-0	11-7-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Southern Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Arkansas	149.5	77-109	Over	+36.5
11/05	Away	Marquette	156.0	82-100	Over	+26.0
11/10	Home	Ecclesia College	--	115-51	Under	--
11/15	Home	Champion Baptist	--	129-64	Under	--
11/18	Away	Washington	157.5	93-99	Over	+34.5
11/21	Away	San Jose St	150.5	66-80	Under	-4.5
11/29	Away	NW State	144.5	75-73	Over	+3.5
12/01	Home	Louisiana College	--	101-48	Under	--
12/08	Away	Texas	158.5	69-95	Over	+5.5
12/10	Away	Texas St	142.0	83-86	Over	+27.0
12/16	Away	Cal Baptist	156.0	67-75	Under	-14.0
12/21	Away	Baylor	169.5	67-111	Over	+8.5
12/29	Away	Illinois	163.5	55-90	Under	-18.5
01/03	Home	Texas So	153.5	84-73	Over	+3.5
01/05	Home	Prairie View	160.5	85-89	Over	+13.5
01/10	Away	Florida A&M	153.5	59-67	Under	-27.5
01/12	Away	Bethune	151.5	77-73	Under	-1.5
01/17	Away	Grambling	153.5	71-53	Under	-29.5
01/24	Home	AR-Pine Bluff	153.5	74-75	Under	-4.5
01/28	Home	Miss Valley St	142.0	80-69	Over	+7.0
01/31	Away	Alcorn St	148.0	73-78	Over	+3.0
02/02	Away	Jackson St	152.5	96-91	Over	+34.5
02/07	Home	Alabama A&M	143.0	81-68	Over	+6.0
02/09	Home	Alabama St	149.0	69-68	Under	-12.0
02/14	Away	Prairie View	161.5	87-82	Over	+7.5
02/16	Away	Texas So	151.5	73-74	Under	-4.5
02/21	Home	Grambling	142.5	87-73	Over	+17.5
02/26	Home	Florida A&M	147.5	71-82	Over	+5.5
02/28	Home	Bethune	153.5	79-82	Over	+7.5
03/03	Away	Alabama St	154.5	71-64	Under	-19.5
03/05	Away	Alabama A&M	145.5	88-85	Over	+27.5
03/12	Neutral	AR-Pine Bluff	151.5	84-81	Over	+13.5
03/13	Neutral	Florida A&M	141.5	73-70	Over	+1.5
03/14	Neutral	Prairie View	146.5	66-72	Under	-8.5

NW State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Texas A&M	153.0	68-98	Over	+13.0
11/06	Away	N Texas	138.5	53-80	Under	-5.5
11/11	Away	N Alabama	142.5	83-87	Over	+27.5
11/14	Home	Ecclesia College	--	95-75	Under	--
11/18	Away	San Francisco	143.0	64-84	Over	+5.0
11/21	Away	Grand Canyon	147.5	72-85	Over	+9.5
11/29	Home	Southern	144.5	73-75	Over	+3.5
12/05	Away	McNeese	140.0	54-92	Over	+6.0
12/07	Away	SE Louisiana	133.5	76-68	Over	+10.5
12/13	Away	California	145.0	70-79	Over	+4.0
12/20	Home	Southern-New Orleans	--	108-55	Under	--
12/29	Home	Lamar	139.0	61-76	Under	-2.0
12/31	Home	SF Austin	138.5	64-74	Under	-0.5
01/03	Home	New Orleans	149.5	74-68	Under	-7.5
01/05	Away	Nicholls	144.5	72-74	Over	+1.5
01/10	Home	Texas A&M-CC	136.5	79-78	Over	+20.5
01/12	Home	UT Rio Grande	143.5	64-63	Under	-16.5
01/17	Away	Incarnate Word	142.0	74-76	Over	+8.0
01/19	Away	Hou Christian	140.5	80-82	Over	+21.5
01/27	Away	SF Austin	141.5	67-69	Under	-5.5
01/31	Away	New Orleans	153.5	64-75	Under	-14.5
02/02	Home	Nicholls	147.5	58-61	Under	-28.5
02/04	Home	E Texas A&M	142.5	68-74	Under	-0.5
02/07	Away	E Texas A&M	140.5	48-52	Under	-40.5
02/09	Away	Lamar	135.5	70-68	Over	+2.5
02/14	Home	SE Louisiana	132.0	69-66	Over	+3.0
02/16	Home	McNeese	137.5	64-75	Over	+1.5
02/21	Home	Hou Christian	134.5	71-53	Under	-10.5
02/23	Home	Incarnate Word	138.5	54-49	Under	-35.5
02/28	Away	Texas A&M-CC	134.5	59-71	Under	-4.5
03/02	Away	UT Rio Grande	139.5	62-74	Under	-3.5
03/08	Neutral	Nicholls	137.5	47-61	Under	-29.5