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UConn at Villanova: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 5:30 pm - Philadelphia, PA
Odds: Connecticut by 3.5, Total Points: 141.5

Matchup Menu: CONN @ VILL

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 141.5	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go under
Under 141.5	Similar Games	54% odds to go under
Under 141.5	Decision Tree	54% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	CONN	VILL
Season	19-21-0	20-13-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	13-10-0	14-7-0
Streak	Un 2	Ov 3
Last 5	1-4-0	3-2-0
Last 10	3-7-0	7-3-0
Home	8-9-0	11-6-0
Away	11-12-0	9-7-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

UConn Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	New Haven	145.5	79-55	Under	-11.5
11/07	Home	UMass Lowell	152.0	110-47	Over	+5.0
11/10	Home	Columbia	155.0	89-62	Under	-4.0
11/15	Neutral	BYU	155.5	86-84	Over	+14.5
11/19	Home	Arizona	156.5	67-71	Under	-18.5
11/23	Home	Bryant	148.5	72-49	Under	-27.5
11/28	Neutral	Illinois	150.5	74-61	Under	-15.5
12/02	Away	Kansas	141.5	61-56	Under	-24.5
12/05	Home	E Texas A&M	141.5	83-59	Over	+0.5
12/09	Neutral	Florida	145.5	77-73	Over	+4.5
12/12	Home	Texas	145.5	71-63	Under	-11.5
12/16	Home	Butler	144.5	79-60	Under	-5.5
12/21	Away	DePaul	134.5	72-54	Under	-8.5
12/31	Away	Xavier	143.5	90-67	Over	+13.5
01/04	Home	Marquette	144.5	73-57	Under	-14.5
01/07	Away	Providence	152.0	103-98	Over	+49.0
01/10	Home	DePaul	138.0	72-60	Under	-6.0
01/13	Away	Seton Hall	132.5	69-64	Over	+0.5
01/17	Away	Georgetown	141.5	64-62	Under	-15.5
01/24	Home	Villanova	136.5	75-67	Over	+5.5
01/27	Home	Providence	152.0	87-81	Over	+16.0
01/31	Away	Creighton	142.5	85-58	Over	+0.5
02/03	Home	Xavier	147.0	92-60	Over	+5.0
02/06	Away	St John's	143.0	72-81	Over	+10.0
02/11	Away	Butler	145.0	80-70	Over	+5.0
02/14	Home	Georgetown	138.5	79-75	Over	+15.5
02/18	Home	Creighton	143.5	84-91	Over	+31.5
02/21	Away	Villanova	141.5	73-63	Under	-5.5
02/25	Home	St John's	145.5	72-40	Under	-33.5
02/28	Home	Seton Hall	130.5	71-67	Over	+7.5
03/07	Away	Marquette	143.5	62-68	Under	-13.5
03/12	Neutral	Xavier	150.5	93-68	Over	+10.5
03/13	Neutral	Georgetown	138.5	67-51	Under	-20.5
03/14	Away	St John's	138.5	52-72	Under	-14.5
03/20	Neutral	Furman	134.5	82-71	Over	+18.5
03/22	Neutral	UCLA	135.5	73-57	Under	-5.5
03/27	Neutral	Michigan St	136.5	67-63	Under	-6.5
03/29	Neutral	Duke	135.5	73-72	Over	+9.5
04/04	Neutral	Illinois	139.5	71-62	Under	-6.5
04/06	Neutral	Michigan	146.5	63-69	Under	-14.5

Villanova Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Neutral	BYU	153.5	66-71	Under	-16.5
11/08	Home	Queens	151.0	94-74	Over	+17.0
11/11	Home	Sacred Heart	160.5	94-60	Under	-6.5
11/15	Home	Duquesne	151.0	87-77	Over	+13.0
11/19	Away	La Salle	145.5	70-55	Under	-20.5
11/25	Home	Old Dominion	147.5	89-75	Over	+16.5
12/01	Home	Temple	147.5	74-56	Under	-17.5
12/06	Home	Penn	150.5	90-63	Over	+2.5
12/09	Away	Michigan	157.0	61-89	Under	-7.0
12/13	Home	Pittsburgh	138.0	79-61	Over	+2.0
12/19	Neutral	Wisconsin	153.0	76-66	Under	-11.0
12/23	Away	Seton Hall	135.5	64-56	Under	-15.5
12/31	Home	DePaul	139.5	71-66	Under	-2.5
01/03	Away	Butler	150.0	85-67	Over	+2.0
01/07	Home	Creighton	142.5	72-76	Over	+5.5
01/10	Away	Marquette	145.5	76-73	Over	+3.5
01/13	Away	Providence	156.5	88-82	Over	+13.5
01/17	Home	St John's	148.0	79-86	Over	+17.0
01/21	Home	Georgetown	143.0	66-51	Under	-26.0
01/24	Away	UConn	136.5	67-75	Over	+5.5
01/30	Home	Providence	157.5	87-73	Over	+2.5
02/04	Home	Seton Hall	134.0	72-60	Under	-2.0
02/07	Away	Georgetown	139.5	80-73	Over	+13.5
02/10	Home	Marquette	144.5	77-74	Over	+6.5
02/14	Away	Creighton	146.5	80-69	Over	+2.5
02/17	Away	Xavier	152.0	92-89	Over	+29.0
02/21	Home	UConn	141.5	63-73	Under	-5.5
02/25	Home	Butler	147.5	82-73	Over	+7.5
02/28	Away	St John's	147.5	57-89	Under	-1.5
03/04	Away	DePaul	135.5	76-57	Under	-2.5
03/07	Home	Xavier	153.5	91-78	Over	+15.5
03/12	Neutral	Georgetown	140.5	64-78	Over	+1.5
03/20	Neutral	Utah St	146.5	76-86	Over	+15.5